NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	87		Excitement	6.6 [521]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (CLE): +10.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.2 [1230]		LVP	Josh Giddey (OKC): -20.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Mann	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	73%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Ty Jerome	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.09	23	57%	0.01	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.03
Luguentz Dort	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	45%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Darius Bazley	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mamadi Diakite	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	9	11%	-0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	12	31%	-0.11	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	4	112%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	53%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	0.00	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	57%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.07
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	20	52%	0.08	8	-0.19	4	100%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	6	57%	0.05	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Evan Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	12	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	6	33%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	26.7	15.3	27.5	2.4	48.3	147.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +36.3%

CLE +4.9%

CLE +21.0%

OKC -18.3%

CLE +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CLE	NBA	OKC	CLE	NBA
this game	13.2	16.9	14.5	90.6	98.9	110.8
season	14.4	15.2		103.2	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.4		108.5	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.5	14.0	13.2	11.2	13.2
CLE	16.2	17.3	16.2	18.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenrich Williams	46	45	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.26	16	-23	39	12.1	14.3	-2.21	19.7	14.4	5.27
Mamadi Diakite	30	31	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.38	16	-23	39	12.1	13.8	-1.71	20.0	15.4	4.59
Tre Mann	17	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-11	15	13.8	13.1	0.71	18.5	16.6	1.87
Aaron Wiggins	42	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-13	19	13.1	13.4	-0.26	18.6	15.6	3.02
Ty Jerome	32	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-17	27	12.9	13.4	-0.50	17.2	16.8	0.38
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	78	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-4	1	12.9	14.5	-1.55	16.8	17.3	-0.49
Darius Bazley	46	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	9	-25	13.6	12.9	0.63	15.4	18.2	-2.80
Josh Giddey	70	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.15	-16	9	-25	13.3	13.2	0.12	16.1	18.9	-2.78
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	54	54	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	0.12	-28	21	-49	13.9	12.4	1.44	15.0	19.5	-4.49
Luguentz Dort	65	64	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.04	-24	17	-41	14.3	11.1	3.16	15.5	20.0	-4.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Garland	78	78	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.18	23	-16	39	16.0	21.1	-5.02	13.5	12.1	1.39
Isaac Okoro	72	71	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.17	21	-14	35	15.9	20.3	-4.44	13.4	12.7	0.76
Evan Mobley	77	77	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-1	9	17.2	15.9	1.22	13.2	13.3	-0.10
Jarrett Allen	69	71	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	-7	21	16.2	18.9	-2.73	13.2	13.4	-0.27
Dean Wade	25	27	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-2	11	17.8	16.6	1.12	11.9	13.8	-1.88
Lauri Markkanen	26	26	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	-5	17	15.8	17.3	-1.50	14.7	12.7	2.05
Kevin Love	44	44	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	15	-23	17.7	16.3	1.43	13.4	13.1	0.27
Dylan Windler	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.04	-2	9	-11	15.6	17.0	-1.47	13.6	13.2	0.36
Cedi Osman	37	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.22	-11	18	-29	17.4	16.6	0.77	13.1	13.3	-0.21
Lamar Stevens	23	25	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.17	-15	22	-37	20.3	15.9	4.44	12.7	13.4	-0.76
Brandon Goodwin	17	18	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.12	-16	23	-39	21.1	16.0	5.02	12.1	13.5	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.79,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 87, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.4%
WAS 94, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
GSW 93, UTA 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%