NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	119		Excitement	7.5 [357]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (BKN): +34.3%
Washington Wizards	118		Comeback	1.0 [723]		LVP	James Harden (BKN): -31.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.28,0.34	0.21	0.14	0.01	15	77%	0.34	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Patty Mills	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.02	0.00	10	85%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.00	0.02	6	87%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kessler Edwards	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.05	0.10	-0.05	0.00	23	62%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	44%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Cam Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32	-0.21	-0.15	-0.04	21	37%	-0.10	8	-0.22	6	67%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	10	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.04
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	7	76%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	9	67%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	3	89%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	18	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	11	57%	0.04	5	-0.21	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	27.1	14.8	26.2	2.4	39.4	138.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +25.1%

WAS -10.7%

BKN +31.9%

WAS -6.8%

BKN +10.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	WAS	NBA	BKN	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	13.9	14.5	122.7	120.4	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		112.8	109.8
opponent	14.4	14.5		113.1	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.5	13.7	17.5	18.8	15.7
WAS	14.2	14.0	13.8	13.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	74	77	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.36	12	-11	23	15.7	15.7	-0.01	14.4	11.9	2.48
Kyrie Irving	75	78	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.32	13	-12	25	15.8	15.4	0.42	13.8	14.0	-0.18
LaMarcus Aldridge	65	65	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	-3	7	15.9	15.3	0.52	13.6	14.3	-0.67
James Harden	81	80	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.49	-8	9	-17	15.9	14.5	1.43	13.5	15.3	-1.81
Kessler Edwards	72	70	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.46	-8	9	-17	16.4	13.6	2.82	13.2	15.4	-2.15
Cam Thomas	45	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	-1	3	14.2	17.0	-2.74	14.4	13.4	0.96
Bruce Brown	41	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	8	-15	15.4	15.9	-0.52	14.0	13.7	0.33
Day'Ron Sharpe	32	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	4	-7	15.3	15.9	-0.52	14.3	13.6	0.67

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	16	17	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-5	9	16.0	13.4	2.56	14.8	15.9	-1.05
Rui Hachimura	34	35	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-8	15	14.1	13.7	0.40	14.7	16.2	-1.53
Deni Avdija	46	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-4	7	14.2	13.5	0.68	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Thomas Bryant	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-4	7	13.0	14.1	-1.14	15.4	15.8	-0.39
Corey Kispert	28	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-5	9	13.5	14.0	-0.45	15.3	15.9	-0.57
Daniel Gafford	25	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	6	-13	15.0	13.5	1.53	15.3	15.8	-0.47
Spencer Dinwiddie	66	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.41	5	-6	11	13.5	14.6	-1.05	15.4	16.3	-0.88
Montrezl Harrell	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.39	3	-4	7	13.7	14.0	-0.33	16.0	15.4	0.65
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	64	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.32	-8	7	-15	13.7	14.1	-0.40	16.2	14.7	1.53
Kyle Kuzma	64	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.32	-8	7	-15	13.7	14.1	-0.40	16.2	14.7	1.53
Bradley Beal	74	73	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.42	-11	10	-21	13.7	14.3	-0.58	16.2	14.2	1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.1,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 110, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.23,0.08,0	93.9%
BOS 101, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.08,0	93.6%
MEM 114, PHX 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.17,0.19,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.09,0	93.6%