NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	9.7 [80]		MVP	Brandon Clarke (MEM): +26.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	116		Comeback	2.9 [585]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -21.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.26	0.10	0.15	-0.00	17	71%	0.42	4	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.17	0.09	0.01	19	72%	0.30	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Taurean Prince	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08	0.12	-0.19	0.02	20	64%	0.14	3	-0.22	7	100%	0.03
Malik Beasley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Patrick Beverley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	9	15%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.19	0.00	10	64%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.11	0.01	7	107%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	10	67%	0.16	2	-0.05	10	60%	-0.11
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.02	12	64%	0.27	5	-0.17	9	100%	0.04
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	10	35%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	30%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.06
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	7	37%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Ja Morant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.11	0.01	16	41%	-0.12	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	40.2	9.8	25.8	1.7	34.2	138.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -1.8%

MEM +18.3%

MEM +5.0%

MEM +28.1%

MEM +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	13.9	13.5	14.5	102.9	110.5	110.8
season	13.9	14.1		112.6	112.9
opponent	14.3	14.4		107.8	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.0	13.3	14.2	16.7	13.9
MEM	14.7	10.7	13.5	16.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	9	9	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-13	18	11.6	14.1	-2.57	11.0	13.8	-2.76
Taurean Prince	19	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-8	8	16.5	13.3	3.14	16.8	12.8	3.99
Naz Reid	22	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-2	-4	15.4	13.5	1.90	13.5	13.5	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	70	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-5	2	14.9	11.9	3.03	14.7	11.1	3.56
Jarred Vanderbilt	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.10	-5	-3	-2	14.3	13.3	1.03	13.9	12.9	0.99
Patrick Beverley	69	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-5	2	13.0	15.7	-2.72	13.0	14.6	-1.66
Karl-Anthony Towns	89	89	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-6	4	13.5	16.3	-2.84	13.4	14.2	-0.78
Anthony Edwards	86	85	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-6	4	13.5	15.9	-2.49	13.4	14.0	-0.65
Malik Beasley	56	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	2	-12	13.5	14.3	-0.79	12.3	14.8	-2.51
Jaden McDaniels	42	42	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	6	-20	14.0	13.8	0.20	13.1	13.8	-0.71

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Clarke	55	56	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.21	16	-8	24	13.4	13.6	-0.22	14.1	13.7	0.47
John Konchar	62	63	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-7	22	13.9	13.0	0.93	14.5	13.0	1.51
Ja Morant	70	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	3	2	14.0	12.5	1.47	13.4	14.9	-1.47
Desmond Bane	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	-2	12	13.4	13.8	-0.39	14.7	12.3	2.39
Jaren Jackson Jr.	70	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	2	4	13.7	13.2	0.44	14.7	12.4	2.26
Xavier Tillman	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	6	-4	13.2	13.7	-0.44	12.4	14.7	-2.26
Tyus Jones	35	35	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	5	-2	12.5	14.0	-1.47	14.9	13.4	1.47
De'Anthony Melton	36	36	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	10	-12	13.8	13.4	0.39	12.3	14.7	-2.39
Ziaire Williams	43	42	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	15	-22	13.0	13.9	-0.93	13.0	14.5	-1.51
Kyle Anderson	50	49	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	16	-24	13.6	13.4	0.22	13.7	14.1	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.63,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.41,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 96, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.33,0.48,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.83,1	89.9%
CHI 86, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.57,0.73,1	89.8%
MIN 89, LAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.23,0.58,1	89.7%