NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	101		Excitement	8.8 [161]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): +40.1%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	3.5 [508]		LVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): -13.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Herbert Jones	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.00	0.13	0.00	11	54%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	12	67%	0.18	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Brandon Ingram	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.03	0.02	13	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Jose Alvarado	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	1	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Naji Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	10	38%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Devonte' Graham	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.17,0.09,-0.07,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	11	50%	0.11	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.06,-0.01,0.42,0.4	0.40	0.11	0.31	0.02	27	57%	0.51	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.17	0.01	18	63%	0.38	2	-0.08	10	100%	0.08
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.11	-0.00	5	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	78%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	10	35%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	26.4	14.5	29.5	2.2	33.6	131.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +28.5%

TOR +8.4%

TOR +16.7%

NOP -0.3%

NOP -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	TOR	NBA	NOP	TOR	NBA
this game	15.3	16.5	14.5	112.2	115.4	110.8
season	14.7	14.9		110.9	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.6		109.9	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	17.4	15.5	12.2	16.3	15.3
TOR	16.9	14.5	18.3	16.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Alvarado	23	24	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-9	14	14.8	15.4	-0.61	18.7	15.8	2.95
Gary Clark	28	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	0	-4	15.7	15.1	0.58	16.4	16.6	-0.26
Herbert Jones	70	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.43	10	-14	24	14.8	16.9	-2.15	17.3	14.1	3.17
Naji Marshall	7	7	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	3	-10	18.7	15.0	3.73	13.6	16.8	-3.21
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	33	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	1	-6	15.8	14.9	0.90	16.9	16.3	0.52
Jaxson Hayes	33	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-1	-2	15.6	15.1	0.52	16.6	16.5	0.05
Brandon Ingram	66	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-8	12	15.0	16.0	-0.98	16.4	17.0	-0.68
Jonas Valanciunas	67	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	15.0	16.0	-0.91	16.3	17.1	-0.75
Garrett Temple	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	1	-6	15.3	15.2	0.09	16.4	16.9	-0.58
Devonte' Graham	61	61	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.32	-12	8	-20	15.4	14.9	0.51	15.6	18.4	-2.73

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
OG Anunoby	65	66	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.62	6	-2	8	16.5	16.6	-0.05	15.4	15.0	0.32
Pascal Siakam	82	80	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-8	20	15.9	22.3	-6.43	15.7	12.0	3.69
Precious Achiuwa	49	49	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-8	20	17.1	15.9	1.22	15.4	15.2	0.20
Chris Boucher	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	6	-8	17.4	15.4	1.99	15.3	15.2	0.13
Svi Mykhailiuk	26	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-2	8	17.2	16.3	0.86	15.6	15.1	0.50
Fred VanVleet	74	73	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.39	-10	14	-24	17.0	14.4	2.62	14.7	17.8	-3.07
Khem Birch	42	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.29	-8	12	-20	15.9	17.1	-1.22	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Scottie Barnes	66	63	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.21	4	0	4	15.9	18.3	-2.40	15.1	15.6	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.66,0.77,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.74,1	91.2%
PHI 87, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.67,0.38,0.39,0.15,0.58,1	91.1%
PHI 91, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	90.3%