NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	8.2 [221]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +28.2%
Washington Wizards	90		Comeback	5.9 [284]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -22.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.10	-0.01	-0.00	10	68%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Arnett Moultrie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	12	47%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	12%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.05,-0.17,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	19	33%	-0.12	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Evan Turner	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-0.00	13	37%	-0.16	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.13,0.12,0.28	0.28	0.05	0.19	-0.04	11	67%	0.40	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.07
Martell Webster	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.01	10	64%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	14	50%	0.08	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.04	4	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	8	45%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	29.5	16.0	27.0	1.8	33.0	133.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +45.4%

WAS +9.6%

WAS +21.3%

PHI -28.4%

WAS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.7	15.4	94.6	97.8	104.1
season	15.5	15.1		100.5	98.8
opponent	15.7	15.7		101.2	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	15.5	16.5	16.3	15.7
WAS	14.3	15.8	14.8	18.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	43	41	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.29	2	-5	7	15.8	15.5	0.26	16.6	14.9	1.64
Lavoy Allen	35	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-5	7	14.7	16.2	-1.47	15.9	15.5	0.37
Jeremy Pargo	4	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	0	-3	14.7	15.7	-0.94	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Arnett Moultrie	11	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-1	-1	15.1	15.7	-0.64	22.6	14.9	7.65
Evan Turner	63	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.43	8	-11	19	16.0	14.9	1.05	15.7	15.6	0.06
Thaddeus Young	65	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-5	7	15.8	15.2	0.66	14.9	17.5	-2.63
Royal Ivey	46	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	9	-21	15.8	15.5	0.30	14.1	17.4	-3.23
Jrue Holiday	71	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-1	-1	16.0	14.5	1.46	15.4	16.5	-1.16
Spencer Hawes	73	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.33	-8	5	-13	16.0	14.3	1.68	15.6	15.9	-0.36
Dorell Wright	49	49	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.74	-2	-1	-1	14.6	16.9	-2.36	16.5	14.7	1.88

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	58	56	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.56	6	-3	9	15.7	15.6	0.01	15.7	15.6	0.07
Emeka Okafor	68	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-8	19	15.6	15.7	-0.08	15.9	15.0	0.91
Trevor Ariza	51	53	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.46	-4	7	-11	17.0	14.0	3.02	15.5	15.9	-0.47
Nene	66	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	-2	7	15.5	16.1	-0.65	16.2	14.3	1.88
John Wall	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	3	-3	14.4	18.4	-4.03	15.7	15.6	0.10
A.J. Price	31	30	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	-2	7	17.4	14.8	2.57	15.1	15.9	-0.87
Garrett Temple	4	3	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	2	-1	6.7	16.1	-9.31	12.3	15.8	-3.43
Jan Vesely	30	30	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.22	-6	9	-15	17.0	15.0	2.05	14.0	16.5	-2.45
Bradley Beal	72	72	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.18	3	0	3	15.0	18.1	-3.13	15.9	14.7	1.22
Kevin Seraphin	17	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	9	-15	16.5	15.5	1.08	16.7	15.4	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.67,0.38,0.39,0.15,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	91.2%
DAL 106, NOP 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.46,0.45,0.29,0.16,0.42,1	90.8%
TOR 99, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.84,0.85,0.66,0.77,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.39,0.55,0.23,0.74,1	90.1%