NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	110		Excitement	9.1 [117]		MVP	Ja Morant (MEM): +27.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	106		Comeback	3.1 [286]		LVP	Brandon Goodwin (CLE): -22.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja Morant	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.27	0.03	0.22	-0.02	21	51%	0.32	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.06
Ziaire Williams	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.07	0.16	-0.01	7	71%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	-0.00	14	67%	0.16	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Tyus Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.00	10	60%	0.16	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	10	59%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steven Adams	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	58%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Santi Aldama	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Tillie	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Desmond Bane	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.03	-0.12	0.01	10	55%	-0.03	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.10	0.01	14	79%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.14	0.00	12	57%	0.20	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	11	54%	0.14	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	18	46%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.15,0.2,0.01,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.09	-0.01	26	47%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.06
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	5	17%	-0.09	2	-0.14	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.7	24.2	14.6	32.0	2.0	31.3	130.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +37.8%

MEM +1.0%

CLE -5.6%

MEM +20.1%

CLE -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CLE	NBA	MEM	CLE	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	14.5	113.4	109.3	110.8
season	14.1	15.2		112.9	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.3		108.5	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.8	14.3	15.7	12.2	14.2
CLE	14.0	15.7	15.6	16.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ja Morant	67	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-1	6	14.9	12.8	2.11	14.8	17.0	-2.19
Santi Aldama	27	28	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	-9	22	14.8	14.0	0.76	10.9	17.3	-6.38
Steven Adams	64	64	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.36	2	2	0	14.9	12.8	2.09	15.5	15.3	0.24
Desmond Bane	69	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	-1	6	14.0	14.7	-0.64	15.7	14.7	1.05
Brandon Clarke	52	51	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.00	12	-8	20	13.4	15.2	-1.73	16.7	14.1	2.66
Jarrett Culver	36	33	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	3	-2	13.0	15.0	-1.99	14.6	15.9	-1.35
Ziaire Williams	26	26	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	2	0	12.0	15.1	-3.09	19.7	13.9	5.72
Jaren Jackson Jr.	63	62	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.28	-7	11	-18	13.8	14.9	-1.10	15.5	15.3	0.19
Tyus Jones	49	50	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	5	-6	14.8	13.7	1.07	15.5	15.4	0.03
Killian Tillie	32	32	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	16	-28	15.9	13.4	2.46	15.4	15.5	-0.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-3	2	14.6	15.6	-0.93	12.5	14.4	-1.90
Lamar Stevens	49	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-2	0	14.9	16.0	-1.14	15.5	12.9	2.60
Lauri Markkanen	72	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.50	10	-14	24	16.1	13.5	2.62	14.0	14.8	-0.75
Dylan Windler	38	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-1	-2	17.1	14.4	2.74	13.0	15.0	-2.06
Jarrett Allen	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-1	-2	15.0	16.4	-1.40	15.4	11.6	3.82
Brandon Goodwin	38	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-3	2	13.1	17.0	-3.88	13.8	14.5	-0.64
Evan Mobley	78	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	3	-10	15.1	16.8	-1.65	14.6	12.9	1.66
Darius Garland	71	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	16.1	13.8	2.32	14.2	14.2	0.05
Kevin Love	60	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	6	-16	15.9	14.8	1.06	13.0	16.1	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.41,0.33,0.24,0.29,0.09,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.04,0	91.9%
GSW 91, NOH 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.01,0	91.8%
MIN 97, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.57,0.41,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.09,0	91.6%