NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	91		Excitement	7.4 [341]		MVP	Andris Biedrins (GSW): +12.7%
New Orleans Hornets	87		Comeback	2.9 [120]		LVP	James Posey (NOH): -14.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	7	86%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11	-0.02	0.13	-0.01	16	47%	0.27	3	-0.16	8	87%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	13	52%	0.07	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Monta Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	12	54%	0.11	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	10	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
CJ Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	17	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	5	43%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	18	63%	0.22	6	-0.20	13	85%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
David West	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	16	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	5	30%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	11	42%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	2	25%	-0.07	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	31.3	19.6	28.7	1.8	37.3	146.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +56.4%

GSW +3.8%

NOH -8.4%

NOH -1.6%

NOH -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOH	NBA	GSW	NOH	NBA
this game	13.6	16.6	15.5	94.8	91.6	106.4
season	13.8	16.6		107.3	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.0	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.4	13.2	16.7	13.4	13.6
NOH	16.3	18.9	16.0	15.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	63	63	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.29	17	-13	30	13.6	13.6	-0.02	16.2	17.3	-1.11
Monta Ellis	78	76	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	-1	6	13.1	15.5	-2.38	16.4	17.5	-1.08
Stephen Jackson	89	87	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.39	4	0	4	13.4	15.6	-2.17	16.4	19.4	-3.02
Jamal Crawford	77	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	3	-2	13.2	15.2	-1.99	16.5	17.0	-0.56
Ronny Turiaf	58	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	0	4	14.4	12.2	2.19	16.3	17.0	-0.67
Andris Biedrins	48	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	3	-2	13.0	14.2	-1.21	17.4	15.7	1.69
Anthony Morrow	8	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	4	-4	13.5	13.6	-0.07	19.4	16.3	3.13
CJ Watson	18	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.09	-1	5	-6	15.5	13.1	2.38	17.5	16.4	1.08
Kelenna Azubuike	41	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.03	-11	15	-26	14.1	13.1	1.02	16.7	16.5	0.19

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Marks	36	35	0.39	-0.89	1.29	-0.02	14	-18	32	14.9	17.7	-2.82	13.9	13.4	0.55
Antonio Daniels	22	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-3	2	18.0	16.2	1.81	14.4	13.3	1.10
Peja Stojakovic	73	74	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-2	0	16.2	17.8	-1.57	13.4	14.1	-0.74
Devin Brown	22	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	7	-18	18.9	15.9	2.99	13.2	13.7	-0.45
Hilton Armstrong	26	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	5	-14	18.2	16.0	2.18	12.9	13.8	-0.94
Julian Wright	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-5	6	16.1	16.9	-0.79	13.6	13.6	0.01
James Posey	58	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.44	0	-4	4	15.8	17.9	-2.10	13.7	13.4	0.32
David West	59	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-3	2	17.4	15.4	2.01	14.0	12.7	1.30
Chris Paul	73	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	16.2	18.0	-1.81	13.3	14.4	-1.10
Rasual Butler	71	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.40	-8	4	-12	16.9	15.9	0.98	13.4	14.0	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	93.0%
PHI 83, SAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.41,0.18,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0	92.2%
BOS 91, TOR 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.28,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.01,0	92.1%