inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 120 Excitement10.3 [60] MVPDeMar DeRozan (CHI): +87.4%
Washington Wizards 119 Comeback14.4 [139] LVPMatt Thomas (CHI): -9.0%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.870,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.09,-0.04,-0.15,0.87-0.010.88-0.012252%0.994-0.121070%0.04
Zach LaVine0.230,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.34,0.230.180.070.032270%0.374-0.156100%0.05
Nikola Vucevic0.140,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.23,0.23,0.140.060.090.011571%0.275-0.131100%0.02
Coby White0.130,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.010.021467%0.1300.002100%0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.060.06-0.012112%0.172-0.05475%-0.00
Ayo Dosunmu0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.010.00350%0.0200.002100%0.02
Troy Brown Jr.0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tyler Cook0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Thomas-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.0140%-0.0900.0000%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.680.680.160.51-0.011871%0.753-0.07560%-0.02
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.180.050.021086%0.2200.00250%-0.02
Bradley Beal0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.19,0.190.190.030.15-0.012051%0.302-0.111385%0.07
Corey Kispert0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.020.01856%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Tremont Waters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Alize Johnson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Gill0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,-0.02-0.020.03-0.050.01664%0.141-0.162100%0.04
Deni Avdija0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.05-0.01950%-0.0300.002100%0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.011446%0.044-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.22.429.213.030.52.041.3148.7
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +27.7%
CHI +12.0%
CHI +0.1%
CHI +7.0%
CHI +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIWASNBACHIWASNBA
this game13.913.614.5115.4113.3110.8
season14.514.9110.9109.8
opponent14.414.5113.1112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.415.012.613.813.9
WAS12.313.815.612.913.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Vucevic76791.32-0.822.140.9413-122514.013.60.4013.514.0-0.44
DeMar DeRozan77760.83-0.331.160.4812-112313.814.4-0.6413.813.20.58
Zach LaVine80830.62-0.120.740.475-4913.913.90.0813.813.10.68
Coby White81820.480.020.460.4801-114.312.61.7613.713.50.19
Matt Thomas2727-0.020.52-0.550.01-12-313.214.2-1.0113.613.60.00
Tyler Cook66-0.050.55-0.600.01-23-516.213.82.3712.213.7-1.55
Ayo Dosunmu4849-0.220.72-0.940.28-1718-3513.614.2-0.5312.814.3-1.48
Troy Brown Jr.6564-0.230.73-0.95-0.11-45-914.113.70.4313.713.60.07
Derrick Jones Jr.6059-0.230.73-0.96-0.20-12-313.614.3-0.7114.113.01.04

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tremont Waters19190.17-0.670.840.054-5912.214.0-1.8015.113.71.43
Alize Johnson65-0.01-0.490.470.08-32-512.513.7-1.2019.213.75.53
Deni Avdija7473-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-2313.613.60.0213.714.4-0.65
Anthony Gill5854-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.393-4712.215.3-3.1014.013.80.18
Corey Kispert6463-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.330-1113.713.50.1513.614.4-0.76
Bradley Beal9392-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.493-4713.613.7-0.0414.113.01.05
Kyle Kuzma8886-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.524-5913.514.3-0.7914.112.91.20
Daniel Gafford4043-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.06-1211-2315.612.43.1813.714.1-0.32
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope8385-0.780.28-1.06-0.63-54-914.211.62.5213.416.1-2.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.57,0.63,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 95, NOH 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.84,091.6%
DET 93, DEN 900.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.78,0.73,091.6%
NJN 89, MIL 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.42,091.3%