NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	9.6 [90]		MVP	Norman Powell (POR): +36.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	100		Comeback	3.2 [285]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -23.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.36	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.36	0.12	0.25	0.01	16	78%	0.56	5	-0.20	4	75%	0.02
Robert Covington	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.05	-0.00	7	93%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.06	-0.00	9	39%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Larry Nance Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.3,0.25,0.21,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	-0.11	-0.01	19	64%	0.24	5	-0.25	12	92%	0.05
Nassir Little	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.02	8	57%	0.02	1	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24	-0.16	-0.07	0.00	10	41%	-0.01	7	-0.23	2	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.01	25	63%	0.28	0	0.00	9	100%	0.10
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.11	0.11	-0.05	0.14	-0.02	12	37%	0.17	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	8	68%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Tillie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	6	61%	0.09	2	-0.13	6	83%	-0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	10	41%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	14	35%	-0.10	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	0.6	30.0	14.8	26.2	1.8	38.2	140.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +63.4%

POR +8.1%

POR +41.4%

MEM -67.5%

POR +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	14.1	14.5	108.2	104.2	110.8
season	14.6	14.1		106.9	112.9
opponent	14.3	14.5		107.8	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.3	13.7	15.2	16.9	15.7
MEM	13.5	15.2	13.6	14.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	67	66	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-7	19	15.3	16.5	-1.12	14.8	12.7	2.05
Nassir Little	75	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	2	1	15.5	16.2	-0.64	14.0	14.5	-0.44
Ben McLemore	26	27	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-8	21	16.5	15.4	1.16	16.7	13.2	3.51
Anfernee Simons	39	40	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-8	21	15.6	15.8	-0.21	15.2	13.4	1.89
Jusuf Nurkic	67	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.37	-2	7	-9	16.5	14.0	2.50	13.8	14.8	-0.98
Norman Powell	73	72	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	10	-15	15.4	16.7	-1.35	13.4	16.3	-2.86
Damian Lillard	79	77	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.31	-7	12	-19	15.7	15.5	0.23	13.4	17.4	-4.02
Larry Nance Jr.	59	60	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	7	-9	15.5	16.1	-0.60	13.9	14.5	-0.61

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	60	63	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.28	8	-13	21	13.5	15.2	-1.77	15.8	15.4	0.38
Dillon Brooks	72	73	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.28	8	-13	21	13.3	16.7	-3.42	15.2	17.0	-1.80
De'Anthony Melton	46	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-3	1	14.0	14.3	-0.36	15.7	15.7	-0.03
Steven Adams	71	72	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-11	17	13.5	16.0	-2.56	16.0	14.8	1.20
Jaren Jackson Jr.	40	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-6	7	14.2	14.1	0.18	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Killian Tillie	21	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	2	-9	15.9	13.7	2.19	15.4	15.8	-0.40
Kyle Anderson	56	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	1	-7	14.1	14.2	-0.18	15.8	15.5	0.31
Xavier Tillman	25	25	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	6	-17	16.0	13.5	2.56	14.8	16.0	-1.20
John Konchar	22	22	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	10	-25	17.5	13.2	4.29	16.4	15.5	0.87
Desmond Bane	67	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.36	-7	2	-9	14.2	14.1	0.06	15.9	15.1	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.54,0.22,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 92, ATL 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.82,0.8,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.37,0.25,0.27,0	92.2%
DET 106, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.6,0.45,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	91.9%
LAL 96, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	91.5%