NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	9.9 [73]		MVP	Tarik Black (LAL): +5.0%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	3.3 [88]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): -19.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tarik Black	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Thomas Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	51%	0.14	2	-0.13	11	82%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.02	8	63%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.07	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	18	50%	0.14	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.06	-0.15	0.09	0.01	13	38%	0.11	5	-0.18	8	62%	-0.02
Luol Deng	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	9	42%	-0.02	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Timofey Mozgov	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	9	28%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	9	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	9	46%	-0.06	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	15	50%	0.06	5	-0.17	4	75%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.02	12	38%	0.00	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.04,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	18	43%	-0.09	4	-0.11	15	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	32.4	15.5	31.4	2.5	40.2	149.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.4%

LAL +10.5%

LAL +23.8%

CHI -32.6%

CHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.0	13.7	14.8	92.3	86.5	107.7
season	14.5	15.1		104.8	105.9
opponent	14.8	14.4		105.9	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	14.9	13.9	13.4	14.0
CHI	12.7	15.1	12.3	14.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	59	60	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.23	20	-14	34	13.6	14.5	-0.88	14.7	12.3	2.37
Larry Nance Jr.	55	55	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.26	18	-12	30	13.4	14.7	-1.22	15.2	12.0	3.22
Brandon Ingram	88	87	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-8	22	14.4	12.0	2.38	13.7	13.4	0.39
Jordan Clarkson	73	75	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-7	20	13.1	16.2	-3.07	14.5	11.6	2.91
Julius Randle	69	68	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.43	-5	11	-16	14.7	12.7	2.00	12.5	15.8	-3.29
Thomas Robinson	19	20	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	-1	8	13.1	14.2	-1.11	15.3	13.3	2.00
Tarik Black	25	25	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	11	-16	12.7	14.4	-1.75	15.4	13.1	2.31
Timofey Mozgov	39	38	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	10	-14	14.7	13.6	1.17	11.8	14.8	-3.02
Luol Deng	54	54	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.01	-12	18	-30	14.9	13.0	1.87	12.5	14.9	-2.38
Jose Calderon	39	38	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.10	-16	22	-38	14.4	13.8	0.64	11.7	14.8	-3.07

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	67	69	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-11	16	13.2	14.5	-1.33	14.6	12.8	1.78
Denzel Valentine	11	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-1	-4	15.7	13.4	2.29	13.1	14.1	-1.07
Robin Lopez	71	71	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.39	9	-15	24	12.8	15.7	-2.91	14.2	13.5	0.68
Jimmy Butler	87	88	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.38	8	-14	22	13.1	16.8	-3.75	14.1	13.3	0.82
Jerian Grant	15	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	2	-10	15.6	13.4	2.24	13.0	14.2	-1.15
Rajon Rondo	78	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.40	6	-12	18	13.0	15.7	-2.63	14.3	13.0	1.29
Dwyane Wade	67	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-4	2	13.2	14.5	-1.33	14.0	14.1	-0.07
Bobby Portis	23	23	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	9	-24	16.0	13.0	2.98	12.8	14.3	-1.52
Nikola Mirotic	47	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	3	-12	14.6	12.9	1.70	13.4	14.5	-1.15
Isaiah Canaan	54	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.01	-19	13	-32	15.3	12.0	3.28	13.8	14.2	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 86, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.38,0.54,0.23,0.13,0	91.7%
LAL 105, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.28,0	91.7%
ORL 97, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.63,0.22,0.04,0	90.9%