NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	113		Excitement	9.6 [87]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +48.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Comeback	4.2 [494]		LVP	Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (OKC): -14.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0.48	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.26,0.48	0.14	0.31	-0.03	21	60%	0.56	2	-0.09	15	73%	-0.04
Devonte' Graham	0.46	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.46	0.02	0.44	0.00	14	52%	0.48	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Garrett Temple	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	3	133%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	10	86%	0.30	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.02	4	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Herbert Jones	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	7	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Josh Hart	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.08	0.00	7	55%	0.11	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.03
Trey Murphy III	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tomas Satoransky	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.07

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.08,-0.13,0.48	0.48	0.07	0.40	-0.01	25	56%	0.62	3	-0.13	9	100%	0.12
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.00	6	89%	0.34	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.12	0.00	9	94%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	18	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	6	37%	-0.01	2	-0.13	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	27.5	14.0	30.0	1.6	46.6	145.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +72.7%

OKC -26.8%

NOP +6.6%

OKC -1.5%

OKC -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	OKC	NBA	NOP	OKC	NBA
this game	14.5	14.5	14.5	111.9	112.2	110.8
season	14.7	14.4		110.9	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.6		111.2	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.4	14.9	13.7	15.0	14.5
OKC	14.4	14.5	14.6	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devonte' Graham	71	71	1.07	-0.57	1.65	0.37	24	-21	45	13.5	16.6	-3.08	14.9	13.4	1.53
Jonas Valanciunas	72	70	1.01	-0.51	1.53	0.34	23	-20	43	14.0	15.5	-1.48	15.2	12.7	2.52
Josh Hart	75	74	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.42	19	-16	35	13.4	17.5	-4.09	14.9	13.2	1.74
Brandon Ingram	78	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-4	11	14.6	14.1	0.43	14.5	14.3	0.17
Herbert Jones	66	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	2	-1	15.0	13.5	1.50	14.7	14.0	0.68
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	48	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	8	-13	14.2	14.7	-0.49	13.6	15.2	-1.60
Trey Murphy III	9	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.02	-7	10	-17	19.3	14.0	5.34	13.9	14.5	-0.65
Garrett Temple	37	35	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.08	-10	13	-23	14.0	14.7	-0.78	13.2	15.2	-1.95
Willy Hernangomez	26	24	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.00	-16	19	-35	16.8	13.7	3.15	13.7	14.7	-1.08
Tomas Satoransky	23	21	-0.54	1.04	-1.59	0.07	-21	24	-45	17.0	13.7	3.28	13.4	14.8	-1.34

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenrich Williams	53	53	0.51	-1.01	1.52	-0.07	20	-23	43	13.4	15.8	-2.44	15.9	12.9	3.07
Tre Mann	47	48	0.33	-0.82	1.15	-0.06	13	-16	29	13.9	15.1	-1.21	15.1	13.9	1.18
Mike Muscala	31	30	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-10	17	13.6	14.9	-1.27	14.7	14.4	0.38
Theo Maledon	1	2	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-4	5	13.0	14.5	-1.49	9.5	14.6	-5.07
Ty Jerome	25	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-6	9	13.3	14.9	-1.56	15.5	14.2	1.30
Derrick Favors	39	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	6	-15	15.4	13.9	1.46	13.4	15.1	-1.72
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	75	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	1	-5	14.5	14.4	0.12	14.0	16.0	-2.04
Josh Giddey	75	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	1	-5	14.5	14.4	0.12	14.0	16.0	-2.04
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	51	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.50	0	-3	3	14.3	14.7	-0.39	15.7	13.0	2.77
Darius Bazley	47	49	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.29	-19	16	-35	15.4	13.6	1.78	13.9	15.0	-1.18
Aaron Wiggins	46	49	-1.05	0.55	-1.59	-0.37	-23	20	-43	16.1	13.1	3.03	13.3	15.5	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.23,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.41,0.26,0	90.8%
MIA 107, SEA 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.65,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.34,0.08,0	90.8%
TOR 109, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.25,0.09,0	90.6%