NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	111		Excitement	6.3 [579]		MVP	Brandon Boston Jr. (LAC): +30.7%
LA Clippers	114		Comeback	1.8 [791]		LVP	Robert Williams III (BOS): -16.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.01	11	65%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Jayson Tatum	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.12	0.01	0.09	-0.02	20	58%	0.27	6	-0.15	10	90%	0.06
Enes Freedom	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Romeo Langford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Grant Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	16	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Nesmith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	0.05	16	48%	-0.04	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Robert Williams III	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Boston Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.20	0.06	-0.04	13	90%	0.31	2	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.09	-0.03	4	83%	0.17	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.00	16	56%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	10	71%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	9	43%	0.04	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	71%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.19	0.02	-0.04	22	35%	0.01	6	-0.14	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.0	28.2	15.3	39.2	1.8	40.2	149.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +27.1%

BOS -1.7%

BOS -1.3%

LAC +25.0%

LAC +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	13.1	14.5	14.5	105.7	109.6	110.8
season	14.9	14.6		112.2	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.1	14.7	11.6	13.0	13.1
LAC	15.1	13.5	14.6	14.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Williams	52	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-11	19	13.1	13.1	-0.06	14.4	14.6	-0.16
Romeo Langford	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	0	-3	12.7	13.2	-0.56	15.4	14.2	1.22
Al Horford	75	77	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-14	25	13.1	13.0	0.17	14.7	13.9	0.80
Aaron Nesmith	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	4	-11	13.1	13.1	0.04	13.9	14.5	-0.66
Dennis Schroder	83	84	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.43	9	-12	21	13.0	13.3	-0.29	14.5	14.3	0.16
Enes Freedom	11	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	4	-11	12.8	13.1	-0.30	17.1	14.2	2.92
Robert Williams III	45	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	14	-31	14.0	12.4	1.68	13.0	15.6	-2.60
Marcus Smart	82	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-3	3	12.5	15.0	-2.45	14.9	13.1	1.82
Jayson Tatum	81	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	1	-5	12.9	13.7	-0.81	14.7	13.7	1.00
Josh Richardson	65	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	2	-7	13.6	12.3	1.27	13.7	15.6	-1.90

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Boston Jr.	57	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.17	10	-7	17	13.6	15.5	-1.88	13.5	12.7	0.81
Eric Bledsoe	39	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	-3	9	15.1	14.1	0.91	12.6	13.4	-0.78
Reggie Jackson	81	80	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	4	-5	14.5	14.6	-0.11	13.3	12.5	0.74
Isaiah Hartenstein	32	33	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	-10	23	14.4	14.5	-0.11	13.5	12.9	0.67
Luke Kennard	61	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	2	-1	15.3	13.3	1.93	13.5	12.5	0.97
Ivica Zubac	69	69	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.47	-8	11	-19	14.6	14.2	0.47	13.1	13.1	0.00
Terance Mann	71	73	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	1	1	13.9	15.7	-1.78	12.8	13.7	-0.91
Marcus Morris Sr.	76	76	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	9	-15	14.5	14.5	0.02	13.2	12.7	0.55
Justise Winslow	1	2	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	2	-1	9.0	14.5	-5.53	9.5	13.2	-3.66
Nicolas Batum	33	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	6	-9	15.0	14.3	0.72	11.9	13.7	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.89,0.98,0.99,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 76, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.0%
IND 83, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	93.9%
WAS 87, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%