inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 112 Excitement6.7 [500] MVPDerrick White (SAS): +28.5%
Golden State Warriors 107 Comeback3.6 [237] LVPDraymond Green (GSW): -14.7%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick White0.280,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.26,0.280.130.170.011662%0.321-0.03887%-0.03
Dejounte Murray0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.110.000.09-0.012155%0.174-0.0600%0.00
Lonnie Walker IV0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.000.001366%0.112-0.03683%0.01
Doug McDermott0.050,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.10-0.020.02968%0.0500.001100%0.00
Bryn Forbes0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01558%0.031-0.012100%0.00
Thaddeus Young-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jakob Poeltl-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02650%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Tre Jones-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.00333%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Keldon Johnson-0.100,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.10.01-0.080.031354%-0.032-0.08250%-0.04

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juan Toscano-Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.040.040.000.02-0.021246%0.0400.00425%-0.06
Damion Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.020.021258%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jordan Poole0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.030.030.09-0.030.03983%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.03669%0.031-0.011100%0.00
Gary Payton II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01367%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Chris Chiozza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.021150%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.18,-0.19,0.1,0.1,-0.01-0.01-0.030.040.032842%0.001-0.01989%-0.02
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02329%0.011-0.0310%-0.01
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.030.02950%-0.031-0.02475%-0.00
Draymond Green0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.05-0.10-0.01756%0.094-0.23250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.826.914.628.41.731.3128.9
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +23.1%
SAS +11.6%
GSW -2.5%
SAS +16.8%
SAS +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASGSWNBASASGSWNBA
this game14.114.514.5109.8108.1110.8
season13.914.2111.3112.2
opponent14.914.6106.7111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS12.314.712.418.114.1
GSW15.013.513.816.214.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jakob Poeltl62620.67-0.170.830.0521-163714.214.00.2516.012.13.88
Derrick White76770.64-0.140.790.2613-82114.114.2-0.0414.813.80.98
Keldon Johnson79790.480.020.460.4223-115.011.23.8114.315.4-1.15
Dejounte Murray76750.400.100.300.197-2914.513.21.3114.315.4-1.16
Lonnie Walker IV66630.270.230.050.48-712-1913.814.7-0.8314.115.3-1.17
Doug McDermott55500.120.38-0.25-0.1710-51514.313.90.4315.113.91.18
Bryn Forbes34320.040.46-0.420.13-38-1112.215.1-2.8413.215.1-1.90
Tre Jones2826-0.040.54-0.580.20-813-2114.414.00.3216.413.92.51
Thaddeus Young3431-0.090.59-0.670.21-1015-2513.214.6-1.4312.115.7-3.60

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Chiozza26270.11-0.610.72-0.2111-162714.714.50.2117.912.85.17
Nemanja Bjelica30320.05-0.550.59-0.2811-162713.115.2-2.1112.914.7-1.83
Juan Toscano-Anderson65660.03-0.530.56-0.6724-295313.915.7-1.8315.012.52.52
Damion Lee6565-0.05-0.450.40-0.4012-172914.115.4-1.2914.513.50.92
Gary Payton II2830-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-2-113.514.9-1.3911.415.2-3.82
Stephen Curry7982-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.403-81113.917.1-3.2114.114.4-0.34
Kevon Looney2728-0.38-0.12-0.260.21-2015-3515.614.11.4513.514.4-0.82
Draymond Green6668-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.09-149-2315.013.51.4814.712.91.87
Jordan Poole4748-0.590.09-0.690.17-2621-4716.013.22.8713.015.1-2.05
Andrew Wiggins6264-0.720.22-0.95-0.05-2318-4115.513.02.4513.714.9-1.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.31,0.45,0.78,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 107, SEA 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.28,0.57,0.15,091.1%
LAL 99, BKN 940.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.55,0.57,0.27,090.4%
POR 117, NOP 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.33,0.25,0.63,0.55,0.26,090.3%