NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	110		Excitement	8.6 [188]		MVP	James Johnson (BKN): +36.1%
Brooklyn Nets	112		Comeback	1.8 [758]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -5.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.22	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.22	0.01	0.21	-0.00	12	54%	0.28	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.10	0.02	21	54%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Obi Toppin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.00	4	80%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
RJ Barrett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.05	0.02	5	80%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	0.07	-0.06	0.01	13	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.17,-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	22	52%	0.06	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.36	0.36	0.04	0.32	0.00	2	117%	0.43	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.06
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.2	0.20	0.02	0.17	-0.00	23	49%	0.22	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.14
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.03	20	68%	0.26	5	-0.15	10	90%	0.03
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	12	42%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Jevon Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	3.4	28.6	16.3	27.5	3.3	38.3	141.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -19.3%

BKN +50.8%

NYK -2.9%

BKN +9.0%

BKN +12.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BKN	NBA	NYK	BKN	NBA
this game	16.9	13.8	14.5	117.0	120.4	110.8
season	15.1	14.4		109.4	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.6		112.1	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.7	13.7	18.5	18.3	16.9
BKN	11.5	13.4	14.2	16.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	37	36	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.05	8	-10	18	16.9	17.0	-0.09	14.7	13.3	1.40
Obi Toppin	22	23	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-6	10	16.0	17.2	-1.24	15.7	13.2	2.52
RJ Barrett	18	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-4	6	15.1	17.4	-2.34	15.0	13.6	1.42
Evan Fournier	45	48	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.12	-3	1	-4	16.2	17.6	-1.43	12.9	14.8	-1.95
Derrick Rose	67	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.53	11	-13	24	16.5	18.0	-1.53	14.5	12.2	2.33
Immanuel Quickley	71	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.49	9	-11	20	17.1	16.4	0.68	14.5	11.9	2.56
Quentin Grimes	6	6	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	10	-22	19.5	16.8	2.73	9.5	14.1	-4.64
Alec Burks	77	75	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.37	-11	9	-20	17.7	13.4	4.39	13.1	17.0	-3.92
Julius Randle	78	77	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.48	-8	6	-14	17.5	14.4	3.10	13.3	16.4	-3.14
Mitchell Robinson	49	47	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.51	-10	8	-18	16.8	17.2	-0.40	13.6	14.1	-0.58

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	63	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.53	11	-9	20	13.3	14.8	-1.48	17.6	15.6	1.94
Patty Mills	52	55	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-8	18	14.0	13.6	0.45	17.4	16.4	1.00
Kevin Durant	76	77	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-8	18	13.6	15.0	-1.42	17.7	13.5	4.17
James Harden	80	79	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-4	10	14.2	11.6	2.58	16.5	19.4	-2.92
James Johnson	36	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.47	-6	8	-14	15.4	12.9	2.53	15.7	17.7	-1.98
Jevon Carter	5	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	5	-8	14.0	13.8	0.17	15.0	17.1	-2.08
DeAndre' Bembry	58	56	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.11	-1	3	-4	13.3	14.7	-1.45	18.1	15.3	2.78
Cam Thomas	42	43	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.08	-9	11	-20	12.7	14.8	-2.14	16.1	17.6	-1.53
Paul Millsap	29	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.00	-7	9	-16	15.6	13.0	2.54	15.9	17.4	-1.57
Bruce Brown	26	26	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.18	-1	3	-4	13.3	14.1	-0.79	16.0	17.3	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.87,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.66,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.76,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.47,0.32,0.55,0.77,0.92,1	90.4%
LAL 84, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.99,1	90.0%
NYK 102, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.79,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.69,0.84,1	89.9%