NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	143		Excitement	11.1 [37]		MVP	Christian Wood (HOU): +49.0%
Houston Rockets	146		Comeback	1.5 [486]		LVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): -22.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0.36	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.09	0.30	0.02	7	93%	0.41	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.21	0.09	0.12	-0.00	12	79%	0.33	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.06
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.41,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.01	19	52%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.23,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08	0.14	-0.03	0.03	23	58%	0.11	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Cody Martin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.04	-0.16	0.00	16	51%	-0.10	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.02
LaMelo Ball	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.01	-0.20	0.02	19	46%	-0.18	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Wood	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.21	0.29	0.02	19	73%	0.54	1	-0.05	7	71%	0.05
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36	0.36	0.18	0.19	0.01	10	80%	0.36	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	14	71%	0.26	2	-0.12	3	67%	-0.03
Armoni Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	-0.00	-0.00	11	68%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.05	0.01	9	80%	0.15	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	16	55%	0.05	4	-0.12	10	60%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	32.7	1.8	28.3	14.8	25.1	1.7	34.2	1.7	20.3	160.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +90.3%

CHA -19.5%

CHA -13.7%

CHA -24.1%

HOU +17.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	HOU	NBA	CHA	HOU	NBA
this game	13.7	15.7	14.5	131.2	135.2	110.8
season	14.0	14.4		112.9	107.5
opponent	13.9	14.5		115.7	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	12.0	12.4	15.5	14.4	15.4	13.7
HOU	14.6	15.9	17.2	15.6	14.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Washington	63	63	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.03	7	-10	17	13.4	14.0	-0.68	15.1	16.5	-1.45
Kelly Oubre Jr.	74	74	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.38	17	-20	37	13.3	14.4	-1.06	15.4	16.1	-0.70
Nick Richards	16	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-3	3	14.2	13.5	0.70	14.8	15.8	-1.01
Jalen McDaniels	45	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-8	13	13.1	14.0	-0.96	16.1	15.3	0.79
Cody Martin	28	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.20	-12	9	-21	13.4	13.8	-0.40	17.5	15.0	2.48
Terry Rozier	90	89	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.47	6	-9	15	14.0	12.2	1.75	15.2	17.9	-2.70
Gordon Hayward	74	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	3	-9	14.3	12.3	2.05	15.5	16.0	-0.51
LaMelo Ball	79	80	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.26	-15	12	-27	13.4	14.2	-0.76	15.8	15.1	0.71
Miles Bridges	89	89	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.58	-5	2	-7	13.9	12.6	1.29	16.3	12.8	3.49

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Wood	82	82	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.21	16	-13	29	16.1	14.4	1.64	13.6	13.8	-0.17
Jae'Sean Tate	73	73	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-12	27	15.5	15.9	-0.41	14.0	12.9	1.06
Garrison Mathews	76	77	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-9	21	16.3	14.2	2.06	13.6	13.8	-0.27
Kevin Porter Jr.	86	85	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-8	19	16.0	14.5	1.41	13.7	13.6	0.09
Eric Gordon	75	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	-5	13	15.4	16.2	-0.79	13.8	13.4	0.35
Danuel House Jr.	31	32	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	9	-15	15.1	15.9	-0.75	12.3	14.2	-1.94
D.J. Augustin	20	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	10	-17	14.5	15.9	-1.37	13.4	13.7	-0.28
Kenyon Martin Jr.	30	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.14	-8	11	-19	15.0	15.9	-0.97	14.3	13.4	0.89
Armoni Brooks	41	42	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.21	-13	16	-29	16.1	15.4	0.66	13.6	13.7	-0.01
Alperen Sengun	26	27	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.20	-13	16	-29	14.4	16.1	-1.64	13.8	13.6	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.64,0.68,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.89,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 103, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.91,1	92.0%
IND 109, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.54,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.96,1	89.7%
NOP 88, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.66,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.85,0.98,1	89.7%