inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 101 Excitement7.8 [305] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (WAS): +27.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder 99 Comeback2.6 [714] LVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): -16.7%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.280,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.280.140.14-0.001377%0.321-0.0400%0.00
Daniel Gafford0.150,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.15,0.150.050.110.00564%0.1500.001100%0.01
Montrezl Harrell0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.01778%0.163-0.094100%0.03
Bradley Beal0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.000.080.001853%0.173-0.102100%0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00671%0.122-0.082100%0.02
Davis Bertans-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.02-0.02345%0.041-0.045100%0.03
Kyle Kuzma-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01-0.030.02-0.00961%0.104-0.1100%0.00
Deni Avdija-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.020.03-0.050.00764%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Aaron Holiday-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Raul Neto-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.00926%-0.0700.001100%0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.130.130.001464%0.2500.005100%0.03
Ty Jerome0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.050.00280%0.0900.001100%0.01
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.000.00679%0.0900.002100%0.01
Darius Bazley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0.06,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.011040%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Giddey0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01-0.01-0.050.01-0.031239%0.031-0.03475%0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.03-0.050.01771%0.092-0.1100%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00437%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Tre Mann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.001132%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.00425%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.08-0.02844%0.013-0.1300%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17-0.17-0.03-0.140.001644%-0.141-0.03250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.51.824.215.324.62.435.6126.4
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +59.3%
WAS +5.8%
OKC -11.1%
OKC -8.6%
WAS +4.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASOKCNBAWASOKCNBA
this game15.414.614.5106.3102.1110.8
season14.914.4109.8103.2
opponent14.414.4111.2113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.314.912.717.915.4
OKC13.716.415.512.914.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bradley Beal75760.68-0.180.870.3910-81815.216.1-0.8914.415.2-0.80
Daniel Gafford56570.55-0.050.600.299-71614.516.7-2.1914.115.4-1.30
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope56580.51-0.010.530.375-3815.016.0-1.0213.716.0-2.28
Kyle Kuzma69690.440.060.380.53-35-815.315.7-0.3513.517.3-3.76
Spencer Dinwiddie63660.300.200.110.33-13-415.116.0-0.8614.215.6-1.43
Raul Neto32310.200.30-0.110.113-1416.015.10.8615.614.21.43
Deni Avdija41410.130.37-0.240.22-35-816.414.71.7015.414.01.40
Davis Bertans27290.040.46-0.43-0.053-1415.815.20.5816.813.73.07
Montrezl Harrell3637-0.170.67-0.84-0.02-57-1216.214.91.3216.313.52.77
Aaron Holiday2021-0.180.68-0.870.05-810-1816.115.20.8915.214.40.80

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenrich Williams50480.22-0.720.950.027-91614.614.60.0715.215.6-0.43
Ty Jerome19190.14-0.640.79-0.067-91616.914.02.9116.415.21.21
Mike Muscala33320.09-0.590.67-0.127-91615.314.31.0116.215.01.14
Aleksej Pokusevski35320.03-0.530.56-0.125-71215.614.01.6015.515.40.10
Tre Mann3533-0.08-0.420.340.10-64-1015.014.40.5714.615.8-1.17
Derrick Favors2119-0.27-0.23-0.050.11-1311-2415.514.41.1712.416.2-3.79
Josh Giddey5558-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.442-4613.915.5-1.5316.114.31.76
Darius Bazley4344-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.34-53-813.815.2-1.4315.815.00.82
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl4747-0.550.05-0.59-0.550-2214.414.8-0.3515.914.91.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7370-0.580.08-0.66-0.40-64-1014.216.0-1.7915.116.3-1.25
Luguentz Dort7473-0.630.13-0.76-0.39-86-1414.315.7-1.3715.216.0-0.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.45,0.39,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.32,0.22,0.09,0.07,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 92, MIN 880.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.36,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.29,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.11,0.16,093.6%
SAC 107, ORL 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.11,0.02,0,092.7%
DET 94, GSW 880.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.04,092.6%