NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	96		Excitement	2.3 [1276]		MVP	Trey Lyles (DET): +9.4%
LA Clippers	107		Comeback	1.0 [1285]		LVP	Jerami Grant (DET): -6.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Lyles	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	8	76%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Josh Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Saben Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Frank Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	53%	0.02	4	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Saddiq Bey	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	12	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	29%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Hamidou Diallo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	9	22%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.14	0.00	-0.09	13	32%	-0.02	4	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	0.00	0.09	16	49%	-0.06	1	-0.00	9	100%	0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	9	83%	0.10	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	5	75%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	55%	0.05	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	83%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	5	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	10	36%	0.04	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.06	19	52%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.14	0.00	-0.13	19	30%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.0	27.2	14.7	28.2	2.3	27.7	128.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.0%

LAC +11.4%

LAC +10.6%

LAC +0.6%

DET -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	14.2	13.5	14.5	93.2	101.9	110.8
season	14.6	14.6		105.0	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.4		109.2	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.5	16.3	13.2	12.7	14.2
LAC	11.8	12.5	14.5	15.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Garza	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.36	12	-23	35	12.0	14.7	-2.72	16.5	12.8	3.70
Josh Jackson	41	45	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.47	16	-27	43	12.3	15.4	-3.11	14.3	12.9	1.40
Trey Lyles	31	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-8	5	15.4	13.6	1.75	12.6	14.0	-1.35
Hamidou Diallo	38	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-15	19	14.0	14.2	-0.22	13.0	13.9	-0.83
Saben Lee	44	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-16	21	13.1	14.9	-1.80	14.5	12.8	1.71
Cade Cunningham	61	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-9	7	14.0	14.4	-0.36	14.5	12.2	2.21
Frank Jackson	48	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-2	-7	13.5	14.8	-1.32	12.5	14.4	-1.90
Jerami Grant	72	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	14.2	14.2	-0.04	13.6	13.4	0.27
Cory Joseph	53	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.27	-22	11	-33	15.5	12.8	2.69	12.3	14.8	-2.52
Isaiah Stewart	58	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	8	-27	14.7	13.5	1.20	13.3	13.8	-0.42
Saddiq Bey	48	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.36	-28	17	-45	15.8	12.7	3.09	12.9	14.0	-1.10

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	66	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.15	19	-8	27	13.7	13.3	0.32	15.2	12.4	2.85
Reggie Jackson	73	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-3	17	13.3	14.0	-0.63	14.0	14.5	-0.47
Marcus Morris Sr.	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.00	13	-2	15	13.7	13.4	0.26	14.8	13.6	1.24
Paul George	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	1	9	13.4	13.9	-0.51	14.4	13.7	0.73
Ivica Zubac	47	47	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.17	17	-6	23	13.4	13.7	-0.27	15.1	13.3	1.81
Terance Mann	69	67	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.30	-2	13	-15	13.4	13.7	-0.25	13.5	15.4	-1.97
Luke Kennard	61	59	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.33	-4	15	-19	13.6	13.4	0.17	13.6	15.0	-1.38
Isaiah Hartenstein	42	40	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	14	-17	14.2	13.1	1.17	13.3	14.7	-1.33
Serge Ibaka	43	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	17	-23	12.9	14.0	-1.06	14.3	14.0	0.30
Justise Winslow	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	16.0	13.4	2.64	6.3	14.6	-8.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, NOP 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
DET 97, LAC 129	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
SAC 83, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%