NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	89		Excitement	6.8 [485]		MVP	Grayson Allen (MIL): +10.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	1.0 [1239]		LVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): -38.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.00	0.07	-0.03	7	47%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	9	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ty Jerome	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	9	35%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Giddey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	12	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Luguentz Dort	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	13	38%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	7	27%	-0.09	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.24,-0.38	-0.11	-0.29	-0.02	20	36%	-0.25	2	-0.13	7	71%	0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.01	-0.03	9	58%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	6	86%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	13	55%	0.12	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.03	0.00	13	57%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Justin Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	9	43%	0.02	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.03
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	11	42%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	16	49%	0.10	5	-0.25	11	82%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	25.4	14.4	26.6	2.4	35.2	131.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +37.3%

MIL +9.8%

MIL +12.5%

OKC -10.8%

MIL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIL	NBA	OKC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.2	14.5	89.9	98.0	110.8
season	14.4	13.7		103.2	112.2
opponent	14.8	14.4		109.4	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.3	15.8	16.4	12.1	15.1
MIL	13.1	14.2	14.2	15.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	41	40	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.15	14	-21	35	14.1	15.7	-1.67	15.8	13.1	2.77
Aleksej Pokusevski	25	25	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.06	8	-15	23	13.6	15.5	-1.94	14.6	14.0	0.61
Aaron Wiggins	28	28	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.01	5	-12	17	14.0	15.5	-1.51	16.3	13.3	2.99
Kenrich Williams	37	36	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-7	7	14.7	15.2	-0.51	14.4	14.0	0.41
Ty Jerome	29	30	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.32	12	-19	31	14.9	15.1	-0.22	15.2	13.7	1.51
Luguentz Dort	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	6	-19	14.5	16.4	-1.90	13.8	15.1	-1.32
Darius Bazley	71	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	4	-15	14.9	15.3	-0.38	13.6	15.7	-2.09
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	75	73	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.28	-14	7	-21	14.9	15.4	-0.43	13.8	15.2	-1.42
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	58	57	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.11	-20	13	-33	16.1	13.6	2.50	13.1	15.6	-2.49
Josh Giddey	63	64	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.26	-16	9	-25	16.9	11.7	5.19	13.8	14.8	-0.98

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	73	75	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.03	23	-16	39	13.9	14.9	-0.93	15.5	13.8	1.66
Khris Middleton	67	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-5	17	13.6	15.5	-1.90	15.5	14.2	1.28
Jrue Holiday	73	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	0	7	14.2	14.2	-0.08	15.1	15.0	0.12
Grayson Allen	59	60	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-7	21	14.5	13.7	0.82	15.8	13.9	1.94
Pat Connaughton	61	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.50	-6	13	-19	14.5	13.7	0.82	14.2	16.5	-2.31
Bobby Portis	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	1	5	13.5	15.5	-2.06	15.7	13.9	1.76
Justin Robinson	5	8	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	2	3	11.6	14.3	-2.72	16.9	14.9	1.98
George Hill	54	52	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.18	-10	17	-27	14.7	13.5	1.24	13.7	16.5	-2.82
Semi Ojeleye	34	35	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.20	-16	23	-39	15.6	13.4	2.24	13.7	15.8	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 95, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.89,0.96,1	92.2%
MEM 94, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.84,0.96,0.95,1	91.6%
MIL 90, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.73,1	91.4%