NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	113		Excitement	9.1 [119]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (BOS): +50.0%
Boston Celtics	122		Comeback	1.7 [567]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (MIL): -40.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0.33	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33	0.08	0.25	0.01	16	57%	0.37	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Pat Connaughton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.04	-0.04	10	75%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	15	69%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.04
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	16	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	69%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.41	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.31,-0.38,-0.4,-0.41	-0.18	-0.24	-0.01	25	31%	-0.23	3	-0.17	4	100%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.49,0.5	0.50	0.12	0.35	-0.03	27	67%	0.65	6	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.00	13	66%	0.23	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Robert Williams III	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.09	0.00	5	100%	0.22	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Romeo Langford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	10	41%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.13,0.12,0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	0.00	-0.13	0.00	25	50%	-0.02	3	-0.11	4	50%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	3.4	26.3	14.5	27.6	3.3	26.6	2.5	13.4	141.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +15.0%

BOS +18.3%

MIL -4.1%

BOS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	14.5	110.8	117.3	110.8
season	13.7	14.9		112.2	112.2
opponent	14.7	14.8		105.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	13.1	16.7	17.2	15.6	15.9	15.6
BOS	14.1	16.0	12.8	17.9	17.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grayson Allen	66	67	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.27	10	-19	29	15.7	15.4	0.34	15.5	14.8	0.71
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	23	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-13	17	13.7	16.2	-2.47	15.2	15.3	-0.13
George Hill	72	75	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-14	19	15.8	15.2	0.63	15.4	15.0	0.33
Rodney Hood	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-8	7	15.0	15.8	-0.79	16.3	15.0	1.33
Jordan Nwora	43	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	0	-9	14.4	16.5	-2.06	14.3	15.9	-1.57
Pat Connaughton	69	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	9	-27	15.6	15.5	0.09	15.0	15.8	-0.86
Jrue Holiday	77	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	0	-9	15.8	15.0	0.86	15.5	14.5	0.95
Bobby Portis	79	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	4	-17	16.2	13.7	2.47	15.3	15.2	0.13
Semi Ojeleye	57	61	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.33	-14	5	-19	16.1	15.0	1.05	15.2	15.4	-0.25

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	55	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	0	9	14.8	15.8	-1.00	15.1	16.2	-1.15
Jayson Tatum	82	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-2	13	15.0	16.3	-1.33	15.9	14.5	1.35
Robert Williams III	79	79	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	-4	17	15.1	15.8	-0.75	15.9	14.5	1.46
Romeo Langford	38	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	7	-5	16.0	14.8	1.19	14.5	16.2	-1.71
Dennis Schroder	83	81	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	6	-3	15.0	16.5	-1.57	15.5	15.9	-0.31
Grant Williams	31	30	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	9	-9	16.6	14.7	1.87	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Aaron Nesmith	11	10	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	15.9	15.2	0.72	15.1	15.7	-0.56
Marcus Smart	72	72	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	5	-1	15.0	15.8	-0.74	16.3	14.0	2.33
Al Horford	60	57	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	14	-19	15.4	15.0	0.39	15.6	15.6	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.96,0.91,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.76,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, UTA 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.95,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.95,1	91.6%
MIL 116, ORL 121	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.84,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.96,1	91.5%
LAL 111, MIA 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.83,1	91.3%