NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	6.9 [470]		MVP	James Harden (BKN): +20.0%
Brooklyn Nets	105		Comeback	4.6 [696]		LVP	Brad Wanamaker (IND): -14.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Torrey Craig	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.15	-0.06	0.05	16	70%	0.09	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJon Jarreau	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Washington Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	14	53%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.04
Justin Holiday	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	14	28%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Duarte	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	19	49%	0.01	4	-0.13	1	0%	-0.02
Brad Wanamaker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.06	0.01	11	71%	0.29	4	-0.09	19	84%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	16	60%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	45%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	53%	0.02	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	7	20%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.10	-0.00	10	79%	0.13	7	-0.21	8	87%	0.03
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	9	45%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.4	36.5	14.4	31.4	2.3	30.7	146.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +28.4%

BKN +28.7%

BKN +7.5%

IND -9.3%

IND -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	13.8	14.3	14.5	95.1	102.9	110.8
season	14.4	14.4		111.4	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.7		112.1	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.9	16.4	14.5	11.8	13.8
BKN	14.9	13.1	13.2	15.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	67	66	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-18	29	13.6	14.3	-0.67	14.7	13.4	1.25
Goga Bitadze	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	9.0	13.9	-4.89	16.5	14.2	2.29
DeJon Jarreau	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	9.0	13.9	-4.89	16.5	14.2	2.29
Duane Washington Jr.	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	9.0	13.9	-4.89	16.5	14.2	2.29
Jeremy Lamb	40	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-9	11	14.1	13.7	0.46	14.7	14.0	0.71
Brad Wanamaker	30	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-11	15	14.1	13.7	0.41	14.1	14.3	-0.20
Justin Holiday	70	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.36	10	-17	27	13.9	13.8	0.08	14.9	12.9	2.00
Oshae Brissett	11	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	2	-11	12.5	14.0	-1.45	13.2	14.4	-1.13
Torrey Craig	69	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.25	0	-7	7	13.8	14.0	-0.23	14.6	13.5	1.15
T.J. McConnell	72	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	6	-19	13.8	14.0	-0.18	14.2	14.3	-0.02
Chris Duarte	75	75	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.09	-23	16	-39	14.1	13.2	0.91	13.5	16.3	-2.73
Domantas Sabonis	78	77	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.10	-23	16	-39	14.0	13.3	0.69	13.4	16.8	-3.32

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	75	76	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-10	27	13.9	15.3	-1.37	13.8	14.1	-0.31
Kevin Durant	80	82	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-3	13	14.2	14.5	-0.31	13.6	14.8	-1.15
Jevon Carter	39	40	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.09	18	-11	29	12.2	15.5	-3.28	15.5	12.8	2.75
LaMarcus Aldridge	60	60	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	2	3	14.4	14.0	0.47	13.2	14.7	-1.50
Bruce Brown	52	51	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.42	-6	13	-19	14.7	13.8	0.89	13.0	14.7	-1.71
Paul Millsap	27	28	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.15	13	-6	19	13.4	14.6	-1.15	15.4	13.3	2.18
Blake Griffin	42	43	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	5	-3	14.0	14.4	-0.47	14.7	13.2	1.50
Joe Harris	65	66	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.25	-7	14	-21	14.8	13.2	1.63	13.0	15.4	-2.35
Patty Mills	42	43	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.16	-7	14	-21	14.5	14.1	0.42	13.8	13.9	-0.05
DeAndre' Bembry	28	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.21	-10	17	-27	16.5	13.4	3.09	14.4	13.6	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.6,0.54,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, IND 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.85,1,1,1	91.5%
UTA 78, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	91.3%
POR 106, NOH 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.98,0.95,0.99,1	91.2%