NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	125		Excitement	11.9 [22]		MVP	Malik Monk (LAL): +29.3%
San Antonio Spurs	121		Comeback	14.0 [98]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (SAS): -29.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.06	0.20	-0.03	15	53%	0.29	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Anthony Davis	0.19	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.19	0.05	0.11	-0.04	31	51%	0.31	2	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.01	27	57%	0.30	3	-0.26	4	50%	-0.03
Austin Reaves	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	83%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	7	25%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.11	-0.01	6	42%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.01	17	69%	0.24	2	-0.08	5	20%	-0.26
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	-0.00	0.03	10	95%	0.20	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11	0.11	-0.05	0.14	-0.01	7	43%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.08	-0.15	-0.01	16	56%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.10
Keldon Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	10	39%	-0.05	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	10	35%	-0.10	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29	-0.29	-0.08	-0.23	-0.01	24	40%	-0.25	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	28.6	14.4	29.4	1.7	30.2	2.5	11.4	146.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +58.4%

LAL +30.4%

SAS -20.4%

SAS -12.8%

SAS -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	13.5	13.4	14.5	105.0	103.4	110.8
season	14.3	13.9		109.5	111.3
opponent	14.6	14.2		111.0	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	12.0	12.6	15.1	13.4	16.6	13.5
SAS	12.0	12.7	11.5	17.9	14.9	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Monk	87	85	1.26	-0.76	2.03	0.35	31	-27	58	13.6	13.3	0.23	14.0	11.9	2.15
Anthony Davis	94	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	1	2	13.8	12.3	1.56	13.5	13.2	0.30
Kent Bazemore	72	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	-2	8	13.6	13.4	0.18	13.0	14.1	-1.12
Dwight Howard	40	39	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.02	12	-8	20	13.5	13.5	0.02	13.8	13.2	0.62
Carmelo Anthony	64	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.52	-9	13	-22	13.4	13.6	-0.20	13.8	13.0	0.72
Russell Westbrook	91	88	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	3	-2	12.9	15.5	-2.65	13.4	13.7	-0.29
DeAndre Jordan	39	38	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	0	4	13.0	13.8	-0.80	12.3	14.0	-1.66
Rajon Rondo	42	43	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.25	-15	19	-34	15.0	12.7	2.30	12.6	13.9	-1.31
Austin Reaves	66	65	-0.50	1.00	-1.51	-0.12	-13	17	-30	13.2	13.9	-0.71	13.8	13.0	0.82

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Eubanks	28	28	0.51	-1.01	1.51	0.01	17	-21	38	11.6	14.0	-2.45	14.8	13.1	1.71
Keita Bates-Diop	63	64	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.39	16	-20	36	13.4	13.5	-0.15	14.5	12.4	2.10
Lonnie Walker IV	70	70	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-15	26	13.1	14.0	-0.94	13.7	13.2	0.56
Dejounte Murray	87	91	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.30	9	-13	22	13.3	14.0	-0.71	13.7	13.0	0.62
Thaddeus Young	7	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	3	-10	14.7	13.4	1.36	9.6	13.8	-4.19
Bryn Forbes	7	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	2	-8	17.1	13.2	3.94	11.0	13.7	-2.67
Doug McDermott	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.13	-14	10	-24	13.1	13.6	-0.45	12.1	14.3	-2.16
Devin Vassell	77	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.73	10	-14	24	13.5	13.3	0.13	14.2	12.2	2.01
Keldon Johnson	53	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.03	-20	16	-36	13.7	13.2	0.44	12.6	14.3	-1.72
Derrick White	70	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.06	-22	18	-40	13.7	13.1	0.59	13.2	13.9	-0.70
Jakob Poeltl	82	84	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.46	-14	10	-24	14.0	12.2	1.76	13.4	13.8	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.59,0.77,0.78,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.68,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.79,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.36,0.16,0.16,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, HOU 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.17,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.32,0.08,0	87.7%
BOS 102, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.74,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.92,0.54,0.39,0.14,0.16,0.01,0	87.6%
LAL 111, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.64,0.67,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.8,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.61,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.09,0	87.6%