NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	10.5 [41]		MVP	Courtney Lee (HOU): +30.3%
Houston Rockets	91		Comeback	3.7 [409]		LVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): -30.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23	0.09	0.13	-0.01	14	72%	0.34	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.12	-0.02	0.13	-0.01	15	62%	0.35	6	-0.23	4	75%	-0.17
Ian Mahinmi	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.07	0.00	2	60%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	4	80%	0.12	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.1,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27	-0.04	-0.21	0.01	22	44%	-0.09	2	-0.18	8	87%	0.05

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.31,0.3	0.30	-0.07	0.37	-0.00	12	44%	0.42	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.07
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	42%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	16	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.09	-0.04	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	11	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	13	46%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32,-0.3	-0.30	-0.07	-0.24	-0.00	24	52%	-0.07	7	-0.23	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	28.2	15.7	23.2	2.4	34.9	2.0	14.8	146.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +54.3%

DAL +4.8%

DAL +6.6%

HOU -18.8%

DAL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	15.5	93.3	86.7	105.7
season	15.7	15.2		108.5	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.7		107.5	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	11.4	14.4	15.0	18.3	12.6	14.4
HOU	15.3	13.8	19.3	16.8	14.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	79	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-8	23	14.5	14.0	0.47	15.9	16.0	-0.14
Tyson Chandler	69	68	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	1	5	14.0	15.1	-1.11	16.5	14.8	1.73
Jason Terry	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	5	-3	14.6	13.8	0.73	14.8	18.7	-3.89
Shawn Marion	75	74	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	4	-1	14.0	15.3	-1.28	15.9	16.0	-0.05
Jose Juan Barea	32	33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	-1	9	16.5	13.4	3.04	15.7	16.0	-0.30
Jason Kidd	78	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.32	0	7	-7	13.9	15.7	-1.77	16.0	15.8	0.15
Corey Brewer	17	18	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.03	3	4	-1	15.5	14.1	1.40	16.6	15.8	0.82
Ian Mahinmi	29	30	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	3	1	15.3	14.0	1.37	16.1	15.9	0.19
Rodrigue Beaubois	28	29	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.10	4	3	1	13.6	14.6	-1.06	18.7	14.9	3.76
Peja Stojakovic	31	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	10	-13	13.2	14.9	-1.69	14.0	16.7	-2.71
Brian Cardinal	12	12	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.03	-7	14	-21	14.9	14.3	0.64	17.1	15.8	1.30

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	62	62	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.18	-4	-3	-1	16.1	15.7	0.48	13.7	15.2	-1.49
Patrick Patterson	63	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-3	-1	15.7	16.4	-0.71	13.2	16.0	-2.76
Brad Miller	59	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-3	-1	15.1	17.0	-1.86	14.6	14.0	0.58
Courtney Lee	69	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-6	5	14.9	17.8	-2.89	14.7	13.6	1.13
Kevin Martin	91	90	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-5	3	16.2	14.4	1.82	14.4	14.1	0.26
Goran Dragic	105	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	15.9	0.0	15.93	14.4	0.0	14.35
Charles Hayes	76	78	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.32	-13	6	-19	17.2	12.5	4.77	15.2	12.0	3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.17,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.32,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 97, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.57,0.59,0.5,0.31,0.54,0.32,0.08,0	89.4%
MIA 104, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.57,0.58,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.1,0.16,0	89.1%
MIA 98, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.33,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	88.7%