NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	123		Excitement	9.5 [96]		MVP	E'Twaun Moore (PHX): +115.1%
San Antonio Spurs	121		Comeback	4.1 [353]		LVP	Devin Vassell (SAS): -19.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	1.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.53,1.15	0.18	0.97	-0.00	10	100%	1.20	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Frank Kaminsky	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	9	61%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	14	63%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	3	117%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.05	-0.03	22	43%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.03,-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.00	11	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.07,-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	12	42%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.21,0.52	0.52	0.07	0.45	0.00	6	69%	0.52	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Quinndary Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.10	0.13	0.01	6	92%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.00	14	66%	0.19	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.00	5	70%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	14	55%	0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	5	64%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.10
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	9	28%	-0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	27.3	14.6	23.2	2.4	27.7	119.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.3%

SAS -10.0%

SAS -12.2%

PHX +19.9%

SAS -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	13.4	14.5	14.4	117.1	118.6	111.3
season	14.7	14.6		115.3	109.8
opponent	14.2	14.7		111.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.3	13.5	12.0	14.7	13.4
SAS	15.5	13.7	15.2	13.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Torrey Craig	66	65	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-6	14	13.0	14.0	-0.96	14.3	14.8	-0.45
Jevon Carter	93	90	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.43	5	-3	8	13.6	11.8	1.74	14.3	15.4	-1.07
Jalen Smith	90	88	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-3	8	13.3	13.7	-0.42	14.2	15.9	-1.69
Dario Saric	62	59	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	-11	24	12.1	15.2	-3.03	14.6	14.3	0.29
Cameron Payne	61	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-9	20	13.3	13.5	-0.14	14.7	14.2	0.43
E'Twaun Moore	44	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.46	-9	11	-20	13.5	13.3	0.14	14.2	14.7	-0.43
Mikal Bridges	12	11	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	-6	14	12.3	13.5	-1.17	16.2	14.3	1.92
Frank Kaminsky	42	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.33	-10	12	-22	14.6	12.5	2.12	15.1	14.0	1.08
Langston Galloway	55	55	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.51	-21	23	-44	14.2	12.4	1.78	14.3	14.7	-0.39

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Eubanks	19	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-11	20	12.7	14.9	-2.13	13.7	13.3	0.47
DeMar DeRozan	54	56	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	2	-6	14.8	14.1	0.65	13.1	13.7	-0.53
Rudy Gay	44	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-1	0	14.6	14.3	0.29	13.0	13.6	-0.65
Keldon Johnson	44	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	2	-6	15.0	14.1	0.97	12.6	14.0	-1.38
Dejounte Murray	63	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	5	-12	14.8	13.9	0.84	13.3	13.5	-0.22
Jakob Poeltl	63	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	5	-12	14.8	13.9	0.84	13.3	13.5	-0.22
Lonnie Walker IV	57	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	6	-14	14.9	13.9	1.00	12.8	14.2	-1.41
Gorgui Dieng	20	19	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	2	-6	15.1	14.3	0.78	13.3	13.4	-0.13
Tre Jones	39	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-7	12	13.9	14.8	-0.84	13.5	13.3	0.22
Devin Vassell	55	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.49	7	-9	16	14.0	15.0	-0.98	14.0	12.7	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.34,0.18,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 130, DAL 128	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.82,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.2,0.32,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.27,0	93.2%
GSW 102, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.27,0	91.7%
DET 90, ATL 78	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	91.0%