NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	131		Excitement	13.6 [3]		MVP	Robin Lopez (WAS): +55.5%
Toronto Raptors	129		Comeback	7.9 [137]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (WAS): -41.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.5,0.5,0.55	0.16	0.40	0.01	8	80%	0.60	1	-0.05	14	86%	0.09
Bradley Beal	0.50	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,0.1,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.5	0.09	0.43	0.02	22	55%	0.54	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Raul Neto	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18	0.17	0.02	0.02	11	89%	0.36	3	-0.18	6	100%	0.08
Garrison Mathews	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	4	73%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Davis Bertans	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	0.00	8	67%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Hutchison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Gill	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.41	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.26,-0.26,-0.38,-0.46,-0.46,-0.35,-0.39,-0.41	-0.25	-0.18	-0.01	19	31%	-0.21	7	-0.20	4	50%	-0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.31	0.31	0.18	0.13	0.00	28	66%	0.58	4	-0.28	11	73%	-0.17
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.29	0.29	0.15	0.16	0.02	16	69%	0.31	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Khem Birch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	11	71%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.05,0.09	0.09	-0.04	0.13	-0.01	25	41%	0.15	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Freddie Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	6	62%	-0.00	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	2	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	27.1	14.7	30.2	2.3	44.7	2.6	26.5	173.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -20.5%

WAS +76.5%

WAS +2.8%

WAS +2.6%

TOR -11.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	13.5	14.8	14.4	114.9	116.2	111.3
season	13.3	14.2		109.9	111.0
opponent	14.6	14.1		111.2	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	12.7	17.3	13.1	12.8	10.9	13.5
TOR	13.5	16.2	15.8	14.4	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	72	70	1.19	-0.69	1.88	0.63	19	-17	36	12.9	14.4	-1.47	16.3	12.2	4.07
Bradley Beal	96	93	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.47	7	-5	12	13.6	12.7	0.96	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Russell Westbrook	91	91	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-6	14	13.5	13.3	0.16	15.2	12.9	2.27
Robin Lopez	50	46	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-4	10	14.3	12.8	1.44	15.0	14.7	0.25
Raul Neto	84	83	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.49	-3	5	-8	13.2	14.4	-1.21	14.3	16.3	-2.02
Garrison Mathews	23	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	4	-6	14.9	13.1	1.75	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Alex Len	33	31	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	0	2	12.7	13.8	-1.05	13.5	15.3	-1.84
Daniel Gafford	30	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	2	-2	13.1	13.6	-0.46	16.9	14.0	2.86
Ish Smith	43	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	6	-10	13.3	13.6	-0.31	15.2	14.6	0.65
Chandler Hutchison	27	29	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.30	-6	8	-14	13.1	13.6	-0.52	14.6	14.9	-0.35
Anthony Gill	23	24	-0.64	1.14	-1.77	-0.05	-20	22	-42	13.8	13.4	0.39	9.4	16.3	-6.88

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Harris	18	17	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-3	4	16.0	14.6	1.42	13.5	13.5	0.07
Malachi Flynn	31	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	1	-4	16.1	14.3	1.78	14.7	13.0	1.68
Rodney Hood	26	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	0	-2	14.9	14.8	0.15	14.2	13.3	0.88
Freddie Gillespie	33	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	4	-10	16.1	14.3	1.78	14.7	12.9	1.75
DeAndre' Bembry	51	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	5	-12	15.6	14.1	1.55	13.0	13.9	-0.92
Khem Birch	77	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-8	14	14.5	15.6	-1.16	12.9	14.7	-1.75
Gary Trent Jr.	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	4	-6	10	14.3	16.1	-1.78	12.9	14.7	-1.75
Stanley Johnson	59	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-2	2	14.3	15.3	-1.01	14.2	12.5	1.71
Pascal Siakam	89	93	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.53	0	-2	2	14.5	16.2	-1.71	13.1	15.2	-2.10
Fred VanVleet	93	97	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.52	-3	1	-4	14.6	16.0	-1.42	13.5	13.5	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.85,0.78,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 96, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.38,0.36,0.45,0.16,0	90.0%
PHI 111, CLE 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.57,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.57,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.74,0.33,0.17,0	89.7%
DEN 130, PHX 126	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.76,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.86,0.58,0.46,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.27,0	89.0%