NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	102		Excitement	8.1 [247]		MVP	Hamidou Diallo (DET): +29.9%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	1.1 [854]		LVP	Killian Hayes (DET): -38.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0.29	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.29	0.08	0.22	0.01	16	61%	0.36	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Brad Wanamaker	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.08	0.00	8	71%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Vernon Carey Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Jalen McDaniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Caleb Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04	0.06	-0.08	0.01	14	53%	0.06	1	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	11%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	23	38%	-0.08	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3	0.30	0.23	0.08	0.02	22	70%	0.32	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	5	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sekou Doumbouya	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	15	67%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	14	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tyler Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Saben Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	27%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.04
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.38	-0.38	-0.19	-0.20	-0.01	6	29%	-0.10	7	-0.28	2	50%	-0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.5	2.6	26.1	15.4	28.6	2.5	46.8	154.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -7.3%

CHA +24.0%

CHA +19.6%

CHA +12.2%

CHA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DET	NBA	CHA	DET	NBA
this game	14.3	16.7	14.4	109.7	106.5	111.3
season	14.2	15.0		109.4	107.0
opponent	14.2	14.7		111.6	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.4	15.5	13.8	14.6	14.3
DET	16.0	17.2	16.8	16.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	34	36	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.23	12	-9	21	13.5	14.7	-1.20	15.1	17.7	-2.56
Terry Rozier	74	73	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-5	13	13.9	15.8	-1.95	17.4	13.9	3.47
LaMelo Ball	59	61	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	-3	9	14.7	13.6	1.15	15.9	18.1	-2.21
Brad Wanamaker	59	58	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.32	2	1	1	13.6	15.5	-1.91	17.2	15.9	1.27
Jalen McDaniels	74	76	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	3	-3	14.5	13.4	1.09	16.3	18.4	-2.12
Caleb Martin	67	65	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.20	2	1	1	14.5	13.7	0.83	17.3	15.3	1.99
Bismack Biyombo	46	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	10	-17	14.8	13.8	0.97	18.1	15.3	2.82
Malik Monk	39	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	9	-15	14.6	14.0	0.60	15.5	17.5	-2.01
Vernon Carey Jr.	13	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	14.5	14.2	0.29	15.9	16.8	-0.87

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Saben Lee	37	38	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-8	13	16.0	17.1	-1.13	14.9	13.9	0.98
Tyler Cook	6	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-1	-1	19.0	16.5	2.48	8.3	14.7	-6.37
Jahlil Okafor	42	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	0	-3	16.6	16.7	-0.11	13.8	14.7	-0.82
Sekou Doumbouya	66	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	5	-13	16.9	16.0	0.90	14.2	14.4	-0.18
Saddiq Bey	73	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-6	9	16.9	15.9	0.99	14.6	13.0	1.58
Frank Jackson	56	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	15.3	18.8	-3.54	14.7	13.6	1.15
Isaiah Stewart	51	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-3	3	16.7	16.6	0.11	14.7	13.8	0.82
Killian Hayes	56	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	5	-13	17.1	16.0	1.13	13.9	14.9	-0.98
Hamidou Diallo	78	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	1	-5	17.1	14.5	2.56	14.2	15.1	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.34,0.2,0.11,0.22,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 108, MEM 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.37,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.33,0.14,0.03,0.1,0.15,0	93.9%
BKN 107, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	93.5%
PHI 108, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.24,0.28,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.01,0	93.5%