NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	111		Excitement	8.0 [252]		MVP	Cole Anthony (ORL): +90.5%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	48.3 [5]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -12.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.29	0.07	0.25	0.02	20	52%	0.29	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.01	-0.02	12	72%	0.18	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	54%	0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Desmond Bane	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.06
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	10	46%	-0.01	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.04
Ja Morant	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.16,0.03,-0.12	-0.04	-0.14	-0.06	18	55%	-0.04	6	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.9	0.90	0.06	0.86	0.01	15	63%	1.02	5	-0.11	11	91%	0.06
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.17	0.20	0.04	15	71%	0.33	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	14	60%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.02	0.02	0.14	-0.09	0.03	15	66%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Donta Hall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Gary Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	25.3	14.4	23.6	2.6	44.8	138.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +62.7%

ORL +18.1%

MEM -42.2%

ORL +6.3%

ORL +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ORL	NBA	MEM	ORL	NBA
this game	13.1	15.2	14.4	109.9	109.8	111.3
season	14.0	14.9		111.2	103.9
opponent	14.0	14.5		113.4	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	11.6	12.4	15.6	13.2	13.1
ORL	15.9	15.3	16.4	13.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	66	66	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.01	7	-8	15	12.9	13.6	-0.65	15.2	15.2	0.03
Tyus Jones	36	36	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.06	5	-6	11	12.3	13.6	-1.35	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Justise Winslow	31	31	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-4	7	13.1	13.2	-0.03	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Jaren Jackson Jr.	43	42	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.35	-12	11	-23	14.5	12.2	2.29	14.8	15.5	-0.65
De'Anthony Melton	41	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.25	-9	8	-17	13.0	13.3	-0.29	14.8	15.5	-0.73
Desmond Bane	65	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.69	10	-11	21	12.8	13.8	-1.02	15.4	14.9	0.42
Kyle Anderson	60	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.81	10	-11	21	12.3	14.4	-2.05	15.7	14.5	1.22
Xavier Tillman	33	34	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.49	-7	6	-13	13.4	13.0	0.36	14.8	15.4	-0.63
Ja Morant	65	66	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.53	-6	5	-11	13.6	12.3	1.35	15.5	14.6	0.89
Dillon Brooks	65	66	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.53	-6	5	-11	13.6	12.3	1.35	15.5	14.6	0.89

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
R.J. Hampton	63	65	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.43	15	-14	29	14.6	16.3	-1.68	13.2	13.0	0.27
Moritz Wagner	71	72	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.55	2	-1	3	15.1	15.5	-0.48	13.4	12.6	0.84
Cole Anthony	74	72	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.53	2	-1	3	15.7	13.8	1.92	13.6	12.1	1.47
Dwayne Bacon	79	79	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.60	-5	6	-11	14.8	16.8	-2.02	13.0	13.6	-0.57
Wendell Carter Jr.	57	56	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.63	-6	7	-13	15.4	14.9	0.51	13.4	12.8	0.59
Mo Bamba	45	45	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.16	7	-6	13	14.9	15.4	-0.51	12.8	13.4	-0.59
Chasson Randle	41	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	1	-1	14.7	15.6	-0.89	12.5	13.6	-1.07
Donta Hall	31	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.08	-1	2	-3	15.5	15.1	0.48	12.6	13.4	-0.84
Gary Harris	49	47	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.10	-9	10	-19	16.4	14.1	2.33	13.1	13.2	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.24,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.29,0.17,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.27,0.2,0.07,0.14,0.58,1	93.8%
MEM 99, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.22,0.3,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.32,0.58,1	92.6%
WAS 100, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.21,0.32,0.21,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.58,1	92.3%