NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	8.4 [210]		MVP	Terence Davis (SAC): +21.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	9.4 [62]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (LAL): -32.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terence Davis	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.05	0.16	-0.00	12	58%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Richaun Holmes	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.13,0.2	0.10	0.10	0.00	14	67%	0.32	2	-0.12	5	80%	0.02
Damian Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	4	83%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tyrese Haliburton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.04	0.04	14	74%	0.15	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Justin James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	71%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Marvin Bagley III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	9	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.1	-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	11	9%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	19	54%	0.18	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.03	-0.02	7	86%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.01	11	65%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25	-0.25	-0.04	-0.21	0.00	12	55%	0.00	5	-0.25	5	60%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.17	-0.15	0.01	13	31%	-0.12	5	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.3	29.1	14.7	27.5	2.5	31.9	136.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +10.5%

SAC +25.0%

LAL -9.6%

SAC +17.7%

SAC +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.0	14.4	111.1	106.0	111.3
season	14.0	14.6		112.2	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.4		106.7	115.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.8	14.3	17.1	14.5	14.9
LAL	14.4	12.8	12.9	16.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richaun Holmes	64	64	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.42	8	-4	12	15.0	14.8	0.21	13.7	14.6	-0.85
Tyrese Haliburton	78	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-8	20	15.1	14.0	1.09	14.3	13.0	1.38
Buddy Hield	66	66	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-9	22	15.4	14.0	1.36	14.2	13.7	0.46
Delon Wright	52	53	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.47	0	4	-4	15.1	14.7	0.48	14.7	13.3	1.40
Terence Davis	48	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	7	-10	14.5	15.3	-0.71	14.3	13.8	0.48
Justin James	13	14	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	-1	6	14.3	15.0	-0.69	16.1	13.7	2.45
Maurice Harkless	66	65	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	7	-10	14.3	16.1	-1.73	13.0	16.0	-3.06
Chimezie Metu	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	2	0	14.3	15.2	-0.92	13.8	14.2	-0.39
Damian Jones	35	36	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	8	-12	14.8	15.0	-0.21	14.6	13.7	0.85
Marvin Bagley III	43	43	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.03	-10	14	-24	15.4	14.5	0.94	13.3	14.6	-1.29

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Talen Horton-Tucker	22	22	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.09	12	-16	28	13.0	14.3	-1.28	14.3	15.1	-0.76
Ben McLemore	32	30	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.06	10	-14	24	14.1	14.0	0.12	14.7	15.0	-0.25
Marc Gasol	16	17	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.16	12	-16	28	12.3	14.4	-2.06	14.9	14.9	0.04
Markieff Morris	30	29	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-8	12	14.7	13.8	0.94	14.0	15.3	-1.29
Andre Drummond	53	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-1	-2	13.5	14.6	-1.05	15.0	14.9	0.11
LeBron James	69	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-9	14	13.1	16.2	-3.07	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Kyle Kuzma	41	42	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	7	-18	15.2	13.3	1.92	14.9	14.9	-0.09
Anthony Davis	70	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	4	-12	13.8	14.7	-0.94	15.3	14.0	1.29
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	64	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.32	-11	7	-18	13.9	14.2	-0.33	15.2	14.3	0.92
Dennis Schroder	75	73	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.22	-19	15	-34	14.6	12.4	2.19	15.0	14.7	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.47,0.55,0.29,0.1,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 110, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.24,0.01,0	91.2%
NYK 94, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.56,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.27,0	91.0%
PHI 110, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.47,0.29,0.24,0.08,0	90.4%