NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Excitement	8.1 [245]		MVP	Shabazz Muhammad (MIN): +18.9%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	7.0 [135]		LVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): -23.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.00	13	62%	0.21	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Corey Brewer	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	9	72%	0.26	3	-0.11	7	43%	-0.03
Dante Cunningham	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	8	67%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.04	22	57%	0.18	3	-0.12	14	71%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	41%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Robbie Hummel	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jose Juan Barea	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	13	59%	0.15	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	20	50%	0.10	1	-0.06	8	75%	-0.03
Gerald Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	15	56%	0.14	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Archie Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.11	0.02	6	33%	-0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	-0.00	11	23%	-0.15	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	28.6	16.3	26.5	0.1	36.3	133.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.1%

MIN +6.0%

PHX -8.6%

MIN +12.5%

PHX -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	14.0	15.1	110.0	100.0	105.2
season	14.6	14.7		107.3	107.7
opponent	14.9	14.5		105.0	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.9	15.1	15.5	15.5	14.7
PHX	13.3	12.6	14.0	16.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	71	71	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.34	18	-9	27	13.8	16.8	-2.98	15.0	11.7	3.29
Kevin Love	83	84	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-7	23	13.7	19.3	-5.56	14.0	14.0	-0.02
Ricky Rubio	76	75	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.29	15	-6	21	14.1	16.5	-2.34	14.0	13.8	0.23
Corey Brewer	70	70	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-5	19	13.9	16.4	-2.50	14.0	14.0	-0.08
Shabazz Muhammad	48	48	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.35	8	1	7	15.9	13.5	2.42	14.1	13.8	0.28
Jose Juan Barea	28	30	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	10	-11	16.7	13.9	2.83	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Robbie Hummel	11	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	14	-19	15.5	14.6	0.87	13.2	14.1	-0.87
Alexey Shved	10	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	14	-19	17.5	14.4	3.13	9.8	14.5	-4.67
Gorgui Dieng	10	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	14	-19	17.5	14.4	3.13	9.8	14.5	-4.67
Chase Budinger	62	63	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.20	2	7	-5	14.0	15.7	-1.66	14.7	12.7	1.99
Luc Mbah a Moute	31	32	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.08	-12	21	-33	17.6	13.3	4.30	13.5	14.2	-0.66

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	51	54	0.51	-1.01	1.51	0.13	13	-22	35	12.3	15.7	-3.45	15.6	13.6	2.06
Miles Plumlee	39	35	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.06	0	-9	9	14.3	13.8	0.58	14.1	15.0	-0.87
Archie Goodwin	34	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-8	7	15.2	13.4	1.80	13.8	15.1	-1.30
Ish Smith	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-13	17	12.7	15.8	-3.03	15.6	13.3	2.29
Gerald Green	68	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-6	3	13.7	14.5	-0.75	15.2	13.8	1.39
Markieff Morris	70	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-6	3	12.6	17.1	-4.54	14.7	14.6	0.15
Goran Dragic	51	50	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.00	-17	8	-25	15.3	12.7	2.57	14.0	15.4	-1.44
PJ Tucker	81	79	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.25	-15	6	-21	14.4	12.3	2.03	14.2	16.4	-2.15
Channing Frye	51	49	-0.93	0.43	-1.37	-0.26	-23	14	-37	16.4	11.5	4.87	14.3	15.1	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.24,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 94, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.09,0	92.8%
ATL 118, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.57,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.37,0.03,0,0	90.9%
GSW 106, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.22,0.03,0,0	90.8%