inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 106 Excitement10.4 [47] MVPEnes Kanter (POR): +16.4%
Portland Trail Blazers 105 Comeback4.1 [298] LVPJusuf Nurkic (POR): -31.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.0.160,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.09-0.01-0.071271%0.1110.0500%0.00
Austin Rivers0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.040.10-0.00283%0.1400.002100%0.02
Facundo Campazzo0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.110.020.006100%0.171-0.0400%0.00
Paul Millsap0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.040.00945%0.0500.002100%0.01
Shaquille Harrison0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00456%0.0400.001100%0.00
Nikola Jokic0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.020.03-0.01-0.001858%0.174-0.15786%-0.01
PJ Dozier0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,0.02,0.02-0.050.06-0.011035%0.041-0.0200%0.00
JaMychal Green-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.030.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Will Barton-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.08-0.011348%-0.004-0.11367%-0.01
Aaron Gordon-0.220,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22-0.01-0.180.021150%-0.052-0.172100%0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.080.080.00685%0.191-0.031100%0.01
Anfernee Simons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.020.00490%0.151-0.0620%-0.06
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.00967%0.141-0.0600%0.00
Robert Covington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.08-0.050.00967%0.0300.0000%0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.011354%0.053-0.0800%0.00
Nassir Little0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.1-0.100.04-0.130.021061%-0.042-0.068100%0.11
Damian Lillard0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.24,-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.090.022346%-0.082-0.062100%0.01
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32-0.32-0.07-0.26-0.011133%-0.281-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.723.814.626.62.329.5123.6
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +48.2%
DEN +2.0%
DEN +1.2%
POR -10.4%
DEN +9.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPORNBADENPORNBA
this game16.015.114.4114.0114.1111.3
season15.014.9116.0116.9
opponent14.214.4115.1112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.716.916.516.116.0
POR16.714.414.115.215.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
PJ Dozier50480.54-0.040.580.60-23-515.816.3-0.5215.314.90.43
Will Barton66660.51-0.010.520.394-3715.716.9-1.1714.915.7-0.87
Aaron Gordon56560.430.070.360.372-1316.215.70.5714.715.7-0.92
Nikola Jokic70690.410.090.320.323-2516.016.00.0914.716.4-1.71
Michael Porter Jr.59590.370.130.240.312-1315.916.3-0.4314.516.2-1.63
Facundo Campazzo52530.110.39-0.28-0.128-71516.016.0-0.0515.115.2-0.12
JaMychal Green35340.100.40-0.290.052-1316.315.90.4215.614.80.71
Paul Millsap23230.090.41-0.320.15-23-516.016.0-0.0916.414.71.71
Shaquille Harrison2927-0.020.52-0.530.16-67-1316.016.00.0215.914.81.10
Austin Rivers2525-0.050.55-0.590.13-67-1316.915.71.2316.214.71.50

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nassir Little2222-0.07-0.430.35-0.01-21-318.114.23.9817.015.71.34
Carmelo Anthony3738-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-3516.314.31.9415.716.2-0.48
Enes Kanter3335-0.16-0.340.18-0.191-2316.314.51.8216.515.80.70
Anfernee Simons2929-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-32-516.814.32.5113.917.0-3.09
Norman Powell6768-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.467-81514.217.6-3.3716.514.61.89
CJ McCollum7373-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.432-3514.816.1-1.2616.713.43.34
Jusuf Nurkic5756-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.22-54-914.416.3-1.9916.115.80.31
Robert Covington6970-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.36-21-314.417.1-2.7016.016.1-0.14
Damian Lillard7374-0.550.05-0.61-0.41-54-914.716.6-1.8515.319.0-3.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.8,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.41,0.2,0.4,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.31,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 98, ATL 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.31,0.26,092.1%
POR 86, MEM 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.36,0.22,0.16,091.8%
UTA 102, PHX 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.28,0.45,0.1,090.6%