NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	116		Excitement	7.5 [336]		MVP	Chris Paul (PHX): +35.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	113		Comeback	1.9 [639]		LVP	Shake Milton (PHI): -19.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35	0.20	0.14	-0.01	17	74%	0.35	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Jevon Carter	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.14	-0.00	5	90%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.01	12	62%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.01	11	69%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dario Saric	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.00	4	64%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Deandre Ayton	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	14	53%	0.03	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Jae Crowder	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.13	-0.00	5	85%	0.23	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.00	14	64%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.00	4	54%	0.08	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.10
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.05	5	92%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.09	-0.09	0.06	23	69%	0.21	8	-0.27	9	78%	-0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	-0.01	10	25%	-0.11	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	29.0	14.7	26.1	1.8	37.9	136.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +24.6%

PHX +2.5%

PHI -4.4%

PHX +20.8%

PHX +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	16.2	14.4	124.7	127.0	111.3
season	14.7	14.5		115.3	112.6
opponent	14.2	14.7		106.7	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.6	13.9	16.1	14.7	15.5
PHI	20.5	16.8	15.1	13.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	72	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.36	10	-7	17	15.1	16.8	-1.66	16.4	15.5	0.91
Cameron Johnson	63	59	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-6	15	14.6	17.3	-2.65	15.3	17.9	-2.63
Deandre Ayton	57	54	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-4	11	16.3	14.1	2.22	16.2	16.2	-0.01
Chris Paul	66	64	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	15.3	16.0	-0.74	15.9	16.8	-0.90
Jevon Carter	34	33	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	1	1	14.9	15.8	-0.98	15.5	16.6	-1.12
Devin Booker	54	52	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.23	-4	7	-11	17.0	13.4	3.64	16.4	15.9	0.56
Cameron Payne	27	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	3	-3	16.0	15.3	0.74	16.8	15.9	0.90
Torrey Craig	34	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	7	-11	14.9	15.8	-0.84	16.0	16.3	-0.35
Dario Saric	35	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	14.5	16.1	-1.63	16.7	15.9	0.79
Jae Crowder	23	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	9	-15	16.5	15.1	1.39	18.0	15.6	2.46

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	39	41	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-6	9	15.9	16.4	-0.52	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Matisse Thybulle	63	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-7	11	16.6	15.2	1.47	16.8	12.4	4.41
George Hill	43	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-8	13	15.3	17.0	-1.67	16.5	14.6	1.97
Dwight Howard	29	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	0	-3	17.0	15.8	1.20	14.6	15.9	-1.29
Tyrese Maxey	61	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.43	4	-7	11	15.4	18.0	-2.59	15.3	15.7	-0.37
Joel Embiid	60	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-3	3	15.8	17.0	-1.20	15.9	14.6	1.29
Danny Green	65	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	0	-3	15.8	17.2	-1.45	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Furkan Korkmaz	41	44	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.25	-8	5	-13	16.9	15.6	1.27	14.1	16.7	-2.54
Shake Milton	44	50	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.09	-17	14	-31	17.7	14.7	3.08	14.6	16.5	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.35,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.3,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.09,0,0	92.7%
WAS 103, CHA 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.02,0	92.6%
VAN 110, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.03,0.07,0,0,0	92.4%