NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	137		Excitement	11.8 [16]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +58.3%
Denver Nuggets	139		Comeback	124.0 [19]		LVP	Facundo Campazzo (DEN): -19.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja Morant	0.41	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.39,0.28,0.41	0.09	0.33	0.01	24	61%	0.56	4	-0.15	11	73%	-0.02
John Konchar	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.12	-0.00	7	71%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.11	-0.00	10	50%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Xavier Tillman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Desmond Bane	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.04	0.14	-0.12	0.05	17	69%	0.07	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08	0.03	-0.16	-0.05	20	53%	-0.04	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.03

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.58	0.58	0.18	0.41	0.01	31	69%	0.88	7	-0.29	6	83%	0.08
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.10	0.20	0.01	13	75%	0.38	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.14	0.03	19	61%	0.33	1	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.03	0.00	5	100%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	6	75%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vlatko Cancar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
PJ Dozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	9	45%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Facundo Campazzo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	8	19%	-0.14	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.8	2.0	30.1	14.7	29.2	1.0	32.3	2.3	15.3	2.5	13.9	166.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +44.3%

DEN +16.5%

DEN +14.5%

MEM -35.9%

DEN +10.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	13.6	14.7	14.4	111.4	113.0	111.3
season	14.0	15.0		111.2	116.0
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.3	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	12.3	15.2	12.2	16.5	13.3	13.8
DEN	14.3	13.0	13.5	17.8	16.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Konchar	38	38	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.12	6	-8	14	11.7	14.5	-2.72	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Justise Winslow	41	40	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.12	1	-3	4	12.4	14.2	-1.80	14.4	14.8	-0.33
Brandon Clarke	55	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.12	-5	3	-8	12.5	14.5	-1.97	13.2	15.8	-2.63
Tyus Jones	17	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	6	-14	13.4	13.7	-0.24	12.4	15.0	-2.63
Ja Morant	96	97	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.56	9	-11	20	13.6	13.6	0.08	14.6	14.8	-0.12
De'Anthony Melton	86	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.75	11	-13	24	13.3	14.3	-0.97	15.3	13.3	1.97
Desmond Bane	29	30	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.13	-21	19	-40	17.2	12.5	4.65	14.6	14.7	-0.14
Kyle Anderson	78	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.50	0	-2	2	14.1	12.9	1.18	15.4	13.4	2.00
Grayson Allen	93	93	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.52	0	-2	2	13.5	13.8	-0.28	14.2	16.2	-2.02
Xavier Tillman	82	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.45	-3	1	-4	14.6	11.7	2.83	15.6	12.8	2.70

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Dozier	79	79	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.54	14	-12	26	14.4	15.2	-0.75	13.9	13.2	0.68
Facundo Campazzo	75	75	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.56	2	0	2	14.7	14.6	0.08	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Nikola Jokic	95	94	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.53	3	-1	4	14.6	14.9	-0.28	13.9	12.8	1.12
Will Barton	91	92	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.59	-1	3	-4	14.9	14.1	0.79	14.1	12.2	1.90
Michael Porter Jr.	89	88	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-15	32	15.3	13.0	2.27	14.0	12.7	1.34
Shaquille Harrison	39	38	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	3	-4	13.2	15.4	-2.15	12.3	14.2	-1.88
Paul Millsap	28	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.09	-1	3	-4	14.9	14.6	0.28	12.8	13.9	-1.12
Aaron Gordon	46	46	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	8	-14	14.2	15.0	-0.80	13.7	13.6	0.12
JaMychal Green	49	50	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.20	-3	5	-8	15.2	14.3	0.88	13.5	13.7	-0.13
Vlatko Cancar	24	24	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.01	-14	16	-30	14.6	14.7	-0.06	12.5	13.9	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.21,0.24,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.1,0.08,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.24,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.27,0.3,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0	85.2%
HOU 116, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.3,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.31,0.09,0.02,0	85.2%
SAC 109, LAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.49,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.15,0.46,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.83,1	85.2%