inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 137 Excitement11.8 [16] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +58.3%
Denver Nuggets 139 Comeback124.0 [19] LVPFacundo Campazzo (DEN): -19.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ja Morant0.410,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.45,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.39,0.28,0.410.090.330.012461%0.564-0.151173%-0.02
John Konchar0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.070.12-0.00771%0.2000.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson0.140,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.140.030.11-0.001050%0.1400.002100%0.05
Xavier Tillman0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.08-0.010.011264%0.071-0.00450%-0.02
Desmond Bane0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00437%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandon Clarke-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Justise Winslow-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00650%0.032-0.0600%0.00
De'Anthony Melton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.040.14-0.120.051769%0.072-0.11250%-0.01
Tyus Jones-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.0230%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Grayson Allen-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.080.03-0.16-0.052053%-0.043-0.045100%0.03

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.580.580.180.410.013169%0.887-0.29683%0.08
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.3,0.30.300.100.200.011375%0.383-0.082100%0.01
Will Barton0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.140.140.031961%0.331-0.08887%0.02
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.030.005100%0.1500.002100%0.02
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.03-0.00675%0.142-0.05450%-0.02
Shaquille Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.00250%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Vlatko Cancar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.01250%0.012-0.0700%0.00
PJ Dozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.060.01945%-0.063-0.074100%0.03
Aaron Gordon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.04-0.01714%-0.112-0.0300%0.00
Facundo Campazzo0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.13-0.09-0.03819%-0.143-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game22.82.030.114.729.21.032.32.315.32.513.9166.2
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.72.315.82.315.8135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +44.3%
DEN +16.5%
DEN +14.5%
MEM -35.9%
DEN +10.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDENNBAMEMDENNBA
this game13.614.714.4111.4113.0111.3
season14.015.0111.2116.0
opponent14.414.5112.3110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MEM12.315.212.216.513.313.8
DEN14.313.013.517.816.714.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Konchar38380.30-0.801.100.126-81411.714.5-2.7214.614.7-0.10
Justise Winslow41400.15-0.650.800.121-3412.414.2-1.8014.414.8-0.33
Brandon Clarke5552-0.03-0.470.450.12-53-812.514.5-1.9713.215.8-2.63
Tyus Jones1717-0.18-0.320.140.05-86-1413.413.7-0.2412.415.0-2.63
Ja Morant9697-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.569-112013.613.60.0814.614.8-0.12
De'Anthony Melton8685-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.7511-132413.314.3-0.9715.313.31.97
Desmond Bane2930-0.48-0.02-0.460.13-2119-4017.212.54.6514.614.7-0.14
Kyle Anderson7880-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.500-2214.112.91.1815.413.42.00
Grayson Allen9393-0.520.02-0.53-0.520-2213.513.8-0.2814.216.2-2.02
Xavier Tillman8283-0.540.04-0.57-0.45-31-414.611.72.8315.612.82.70

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
PJ Dozier79790.95-0.451.410.5414-122614.415.2-0.7513.913.20.68
Facundo Campazzo75750.62-0.120.730.5620214.714.60.0813.314.0-0.69
Nikola Jokic95940.62-0.120.730.533-1414.614.9-0.2813.912.81.12
Will Barton91920.56-0.060.620.59-13-414.914.10.7914.112.21.90
Michael Porter Jr.89880.53-0.030.560.0317-153215.313.02.2714.012.71.34
Shaquille Harrison39380.210.29-0.080.24-13-413.215.4-2.1512.314.2-1.88
Paul Millsap2829-0.120.62-0.73-0.09-13-414.914.60.2812.813.9-1.12
Aaron Gordon4646-0.180.68-0.86-0.00-68-1414.215.0-0.8013.713.60.12
JaMychal Green4950-0.290.79-1.08-0.20-35-815.214.30.8813.513.7-0.13
Vlatko Cancar2424-0.400.90-1.300.01-1416-3014.614.7-0.0612.513.9-1.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.21,0.24,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.1,0.08,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.24,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 108, LAC 990.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.27,0.3,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,085.2%
HOU 116, DAL 1080.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.3,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.31,0.09,0.02,085.2%
SAC 109, LAC 1160.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.49,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.15,0.06,0.15,0.46,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.83,185.2%