NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	110		Excitement	9.7 [80]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +38.2%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	27.2 [44]		LVP	Jordan Poole (GSW): -18.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.03,-0.09,0.38	-0.05	0.47	0.04	16	53%	0.60	6	-0.22	6	83%	0.09
Robin Lopez	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	14	67%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Rui Hachimura	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	16	61%	0.12	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Davis Bertans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	17	51%	0.11	6	-0.20	3	67%	0.03
Deni Avdija	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.20	0.01	25	57%	0.34	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.04
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.06	0.01	13	79%	0.25	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
James Wiseman	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.10	0.01	11	82%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.08,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	13	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.13
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	6	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-0.22	-0.00	6	71%	0.12	1	-0.28	2	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	9	25%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	4	0%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.5	27.4	14.5	25.4	1.5	34.2	129.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -2.4%

WAS +40.0%

WAS +4.3%

WAS +1.3%

WAS +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	GSW	NBA	WAS	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	13.1	14.4	106.8	102.9	111.3
season	13.3	13.5		109.9	109.9
opponent	14.5	14.1		108.8	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.9	13.9	15.3	14.9	14.7
GSW	11.8	13.3	13.0	14.5	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	82	83	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.51	13	-10	23	14.9	14.1	0.82	12.7	14.7	-1.98
Robin Lopez	52	52	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.60	7	-4	11	15.9	13.5	2.37	15.2	10.9	4.29
Russell Westbrook	85	84	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	2	-1	13.8	19.1	-5.22	12.5	15.5	-2.99
Bradley Beal	67	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.39	1	2	-1	14.4	15.4	-1.03	12.2	14.7	-2.55
Davis Bertans	56	57	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	-1	5	14.2	15.4	-1.25	14.0	11.9	2.10
Ish Smith	36	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.08	0	3	-3	16.3	13.9	2.40	15.0	12.0	2.97
Alex Len	49	49	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	5	-7	13.8	15.6	-1.74	11.5	14.5	-3.06
Garrison Mathews	24	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.08	-3	6	-9	16.3	14.3	2.01	14.0	12.8	1.23
Deni Avdija	50	48	-0.66	1.16	-1.82	-0.28	-13	16	-29	14.7	14.8	-0.01	11.9	14.1	-2.17

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Poole	28	28	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.03	7	-10	17	15.9	12.1	3.84	16.5	14.1	2.36
James Wiseman	48	49	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.08	4	-7	11	13.8	12.5	1.35	15.3	14.3	1.03
Andrew Wiggins	78	78	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.22	12	-15	27	12.4	15.2	-2.76	14.8	14.5	0.35
Damion Lee	31	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-5	7	14.1	12.6	1.49	14.5	14.9	-0.38
Kent Bazemore	55	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-5	7	14.2	11.8	2.36	15.4	14.0	1.39
Kevon Looney	42	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	3	-9	13.0	13.1	-0.07	14.8	14.7	0.13
Draymond Green	75	73	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.50	-7	4	-11	12.4	14.9	-2.51	14.7	15.0	-0.31
Kelly Oubre Jr.	84	81	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.56	-13	10	-23	12.6	15.3	-2.74	14.0	17.3	-3.27
Stephen Curry	79	78	-1.00	0.50	-1.51	-0.53	-16	13	-29	12.4	15.3	-2.89	14.1	16.7	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.52,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.43,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.61,0.53,0.28,0.14,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.22,0.28,0	91.2%
GSW 83, NYK 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.37,0.09,0.09,0	91.1%
UTA 86, ORL 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.31,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.77,0.69,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.11,0.15,0	90.8%