NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	8.9 [157]		MVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): +82.5%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	20.6 [115]		LVP	Raul Neto (WAS): -19.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrison Mathews	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	7	100%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	8	94%	0.20	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Russell Westbrook	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.26,-0.22,-0.21,0.12	-0.10	0.20	-0.02	25	43%	0.19	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Robin Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ish Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.05	12	42%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.00	10	55%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	10	57%	0.04	3	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02
Chandler Hutchison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	14%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Gill	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	5	20%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	11	18%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.83	0.83	0.05	0.75	-0.02	15	53%	0.83	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	10	68%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	53%	0.13	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.08	-0.00	13	57%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.12	-0.01	16	65%	0.18	3	-0.23	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	17	39%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	12	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	25.5	14.7	28.2	2.4	27.3	126.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +102.1%

WAS -6.1%

WAS -34.2%

WAS -11.2%

WAS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	13.8	14.4	96.2	101.0	111.3
season	13.3	14.2		109.9	111.0
opponent	14.6	14.1		111.2	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.3	12.5	14.2	14.6	14.1
TOR	14.1	13.3	13.5	14.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	66	62	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.41	11	-13	24	12.7	16.3	-3.54	14.7	12.3	2.45
Robin Lopez	19	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	5	-12	15.9	13.6	2.31	10.7	14.5	-3.75
Davis Bertans	55	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.51	12	-14	26	12.8	15.4	-2.60	15.1	12.5	2.66
Garrison Mathews	65	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	6	-14	14.5	13.3	1.18	12.9	15.2	-2.26
Chandler Hutchison	28	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.23	-15	13	-28	16.1	13.3	2.84	10.9	14.9	-3.96
Anthony Gill	19	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	2	-6	17.5	13.3	4.17	13.8	13.8	0.04
Ish Smith	45	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	8	-18	15.7	12.8	2.82	12.8	14.6	-1.81
Raul Neto	56	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.51	7	-9	16	13.0	15.3	-2.30	14.3	13.2	1.10
Deni Avdija	86	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.61	8	-10	18	13.4	16.8	-3.40	14.6	9.9	4.69
Russell Westbrook	86	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	2	-6	14.1	13.7	0.46	13.9	13.2	0.75

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	46	46	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.17	20	-18	38	12.2	15.1	-2.90	14.6	13.6	0.98
Malachi Flynn	73	73	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-9	20	13.2	15.3	-2.16	14.5	13.0	1.52
Yuta Watanabe	40	40	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.14	18	-16	34	12.6	14.5	-1.92	14.7	13.7	1.04
OG Anunoby	81	82	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.47	4	-2	6	14.2	12.1	2.04	13.8	14.9	-1.10
DeAndre' Bembry	61	66	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.55	1	1	0	15.0	11.9	3.07	13.3	15.3	-1.99
Stanley Johnson	28	26	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.14	7	-5	12	11.1	14.8	-3.61	15.6	13.5	2.07
Pascal Siakam	75	78	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.37	-20	22	-42	14.3	12.2	2.10	13.9	14.5	-0.62
Gary Trent Jr.	64	67	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.23	-17	19	-36	14.4	12.8	1.60	14.1	14.1	0.01
Chris Boucher	42	47	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.03	-14	16	-30	14.9	12.9	1.98	13.1	14.8	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.67,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 82, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.45,0.85,1	92.3%
MIN 87, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.59,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.77,0.73,1	91.4%
HOU 100, VAN 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.98,1	90.3%