NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	8.6 [183]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +26.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	19.8 [50]		LVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): -39.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.2	0.06	0.14	0.00	3	87%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Reggie Bullock	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.15,0.15,-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.01	20	62%	0.09	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	12	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Immanuel Quickley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13	0.01	-0.13	0.01	13	55%	-0.01	3	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
RJ Barrett	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.4	0.01	-0.41	-0.00	17	57%	-0.12	4	-0.27	6	67%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0.07,0.06,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.08	0.17	-0.01	16	65%	0.35	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.02
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.11	0.03	9	83%	0.43	1	-0.18	6	83%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.02	13	69%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Nowell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	18	47%	0.05	3	-0.21	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	24.6	15.4	27.4	2.4	30.6	126.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +51.2%

MIN +2.2%

NYK -1.3%

NYK -2.4%

MIN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	14.4	106.3	105.2	111.3
season	15.2	14.1		109.2	108.7
opponent	14.0	14.6		113.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.8	17.7	13.5	16.6	15.0
MIN	15.4	13.7	15.3	15.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	17	16	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.04	4	-5	9	14.6	15.1	-0.47	18.4	14.3	4.08
Immanuel Quickley	26	27	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.21	11	-12	23	14.3	15.3	-1.05	15.1	14.9	0.25
Nerlens Noel	46	47	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.06	1	-2	3	14.7	15.3	-0.65	16.1	13.9	2.17
Elfrid Payton	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.33	2	-3	5	14.9	15.2	-0.24	16.1	13.6	2.49
RJ Barrett	81	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-2	3	14.6	17.6	-3.06	14.9	15.1	-0.20
Taj Gibson	49	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	1	-3	15.3	14.7	0.65	14.2	15.8	-1.59
Alec Burks	48	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.28	-7	6	-13	15.9	14.2	1.66	13.9	16.1	-2.12
Julius Randle	78	81	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.51	-5	4	-9	15.1	14.6	0.47	14.3	18.4	-4.08
Reggie Bullock	76	78	-0.83	0.34	-1.17	-0.54	-10	9	-19	15.3	13.8	1.49	14.7	16.3	-1.61

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Edwards	69	69	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.43	14	-13	27	15.2	14.3	0.91	15.3	14.2	1.16
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	78	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.45	9	-8	17	14.5	17.0	-2.46	15.3	14.0	1.26
Jaden McDaniels	70	69	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.44	9	-8	17	16.1	12.0	4.11	15.2	14.5	0.73
Ricky Rubio	55	54	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-3	7	15.4	14.4	0.95	14.9	15.2	-0.37
Jaylen Nowell	46	42	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	-4	9	13.7	16.1	-2.42	15.9	14.3	1.61
Malik Beasley	62	63	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.44	-12	13	-25	16.6	12.1	4.51	14.4	16.3	-1.98
Jordan McLaughlin	42	41	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	4	-7	14.4	15.4	-0.95	15.2	14.9	0.37
Jarrett Culver	9	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	4	-7	11.4	15.3	-3.89	11.8	15.4	-3.59
Jake Layman	8	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	3	-5	11.4	15.3	-3.92	16.7	14.9	1.82
Juancho Hernangomez	11	11	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.08	-9	10	-19	12.9	15.2	-2.32	13.9	15.2	-1.27
Naz Reid	33	32	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	8	-15	14.3	15.3	-1.06	14.4	15.3	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.45,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.11,0.21,0.29,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.24,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 109, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.42,1	91.1%
MIL 91, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.16,1	90.2%
DAL 107, ATL 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.58,1	90.0%