inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 109 Excitement10.9 [34] MVPDoug McDermott (IND): +16.8%
Miami Heat 106 Comeback7.3 [128] LVPTyler Herro (MIA): -32.1%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
T.J. McConnell0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.07-0.00775%0.181-0.042100%0.02
Justin Holiday0.130,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.26,0.13,0.130.070.06-0.001168%0.302-0.1700%0.00
Goga Bitadze0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.02-0.02333%0.0300.0000%0.00
Caris LeVert-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01-0.040.02-0.021835%-0.0100.001100%0.01
Edmond Sumner-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.02-0.00437%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Myles Turner-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.07-0.100.01873%0.112-0.14683%0.01
Domantas Sabonis-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.011352%0.075-0.137100%0.05
Jeremy Lamb-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00725%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Malcolm Brogdon-0.190,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.19,-0.19-0.10-0.070.011733%-0.132-0.06250%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,-0.01,0.16,0.160.160.080.08-0.002158%0.324-0.16887%0.04
Duncan Robinson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.020.13-0.011446%0.1500.0000%0.00
Gabe Vincent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.06-0.00-0.014112%0.122-0.0500%0.00
Kendrick Nunn0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.020.01664%0.062-0.052100%0.01
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.000.001100%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Precious Achiuwa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.0500.0020%-0.03
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.060.00642%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.001132%-0.032-0.0900%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.14-0.140.02-0.140.021652%-0.052-0.09887%-0.07
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32-0.32-0.09-0.230.001631%-0.301-0.023100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.52.428.415.326.51.835.31.811.6146.6
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.72.315.8135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +60.5%
MIA -12.4%
IND +7.0%
MIA -1.0%
MIA -4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game15.715.214.4105.8102.9111.3
season13.614.6111.5109.3
opponent14.914.4110.4111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
IND15.513.616.117.317.015.7
MIA14.515.218.113.314.415.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Myles Turner60580.70-0.200.910.536-3915.316.3-1.0615.814.41.44
Justin Holiday84820.55-0.050.600.318-51315.317.3-1.9715.314.50.81
Malcolm Brogdon81780.51-0.010.530.346-3915.516.5-0.9515.314.70.59
Caris LeVert68660.250.25-0.000.2212-115.416.3-0.9215.614.41.23
Goga Bitadze15180.150.35-0.190.0730318.115.32.7615.315.10.14
T.J. McConnell51540.020.48-0.460.14-47-1116.215.21.0413.916.6-2.64
Edmond Sumner21230.010.49-0.480.10-36-916.715.51.2014.715.3-0.60
Jeremy Lamb1921-0.050.55-0.600.10-58-1317.315.31.9714.515.3-0.81
Domantas Sabonis7067-0.260.76-1.02-0.20-25-715.017.2-2.1715.714.21.53

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Iguodala39390.47-0.971.45-0.0217-203712.816.6-3.8617.214.82.37
Bam Adebayo71710.25-0.751.00-0.4022-254714.416.8-2.4416.713.53.20
Duncan Robinson78780.07-0.570.65-0.3715-183314.617.1-2.5316.014.71.36
Gabe Vincent3333-0.02-0.480.46-0.175-81314.315.6-1.2217.814.73.06
Precious Achiuwa66-0.18-0.320.130.11-107-1717.215.02.1313.515.8-2.35
Kendrick Nunn4544-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-96-1516.614.12.4714.716.5-1.83
Kelly Olynyk5454-0.550.05-0.61-0.06-1714-3116.813.33.4714.716.9-2.19
Tyler Herro7271-0.580.08-0.66-0.43-52-714.716.3-1.6615.815.60.17
Jimmy Butler8081-0.740.24-0.98-0.30-1512-2716.012.43.5715.018.1-3.09
Trevor Ariza3738-0.920.42-1.33-0.39-1815-3316.014.71.3014.216.6-2.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.31,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 113, LAL 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.22,0.08,090.8%
ATL 99, CLE 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.31,0.39,0.17,0.1,0.05,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.16,090.2%
ATL 89, ORL 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.54,0.76,0.63,0.22,0.26,090.1%