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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 103 Excitement9.2 [117] MVPJuan Toscano-Anderson (GSW): +27.0%
Memphis Grizzlies 111 Comeback1.7 [751] LVPJa Morant (MEM): -33.2%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juan Toscano-Anderson0.270,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.090.17-0.01779%0.2700.0000%0.00
Jordan Poole0.220,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.220.130.09-0.002158%0.2200.003100%0.02
Nico Mannion0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.060.00664%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.02-0.011339%0.011-0.02560%-0.02
Kent Bazemore-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01744%0.032-0.06475%0.00
Alen Smailagic-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.030.00530%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Brad Wanamaker-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Mychal Mulder-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.00420%-0.0700.002100%0.02
Damion Lee-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.040.00542%-0.042-0.052100%0.01
Draymond Green-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19-0.01-0.180.00458%-0.022-0.17475%-0.01
Andrew Wiggins-0.210,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21-0.02-0.21-0.011450%-0.013-0.201283%0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Clarke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.220.220.130.09-0.00980%0.261-0.052100%0.02
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.100.060.011066%0.181-0.02989%0.02
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.060.01968%0.1400.001100%0.00
Desmond Bane0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.07-0.001068%0.181-0.04250%-0.01
De'Anthony Melton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.02-0.00275%0.072-0.0700%0.00
Grayson Allen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,00.00-0.070.06-0.01929%0.0000.00367%-0.00
Tyus Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.01150%0.011-0.012100%0.01
Dillon Brooks0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.040.031647%-0.042-0.048100%0.06
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.00922%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Ja Morant0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.29,-0.29,-0.2,-0.34,-0.33-0.33-0.16-0.170.002032%-0.213-0.13475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.33.528.414.828.52.428.2137.0
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +5.8%
MEM +8.5%
MEM +17.4%
MEM +16.3%
MEM +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMEMNBAGSWMEMNBA
this game12.914.114.497.2103.7111.3
season13.514.0109.9111.2
opponent14.514.5110.4108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.612.113.513.612.9
MEM13.614.114.714.114.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Wanamaker26260.14-0.640.78-0.108-162411.313.4-2.1814.414.00.35
Damion Lee44440.05-0.550.60-0.074-121612.513.2-0.6313.214.7-1.52
Juan Toscano-Anderson53520.04-0.540.57-0.4015-233812.813.0-0.2114.713.51.22
Nico Mannion2928-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-8813.912.51.3514.014.2-0.12
Alen Smailagic1617-0.09-0.410.330.09-6-2-415.012.52.4615.014.01.04
Kent Bazemore4949-0.14-0.360.23-0.347-152212.013.7-1.6314.413.90.49
Mychal Mulder2120-0.16-0.340.19-0.10-2-6414.512.51.9514.514.00.47
Kelly Oubre Jr.6262-0.47-0.03-0.450.08-1911-3013.811.72.1114.014.2-0.17
Andrew Wiggins7779-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.24-80-812.513.9-1.3514.214.00.12
Jordan Poole8385-0.520.02-0.55-0.17-124-1612.813.2-0.3314.213.80.44
Draymond Green7073-0.850.35-1.20-0.06-2719-4612.813.1-0.3013.615.3-1.68

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dillon Brooks57560.76-0.261.030.1222-143614.114.2-0.0714.111.62.49
Kyle Anderson67650.72-0.220.930.1320-123213.814.6-0.8013.012.80.22
Jonas Valanciunas62620.65-0.150.800.1517-92613.814.5-0.6712.613.3-0.73
Grayson Allen72710.450.050.400.1510-21214.213.90.3912.913.0-0.08
Ja Morant79770.420.080.340.1880814.214.00.1613.012.70.31
Tyus Jones28290.080.42-0.340.0808-814.014.2-0.1612.713.0-0.31
Brandon Clarke4948-0.040.54-0.590.07-412-1614.214.10.0813.212.70.46
De'Anthony Melton2223-0.050.55-0.600.13-614-2014.014.2-0.2114.012.61.33
Desmond Bane5454-0.120.62-0.740.17-1018-2814.413.80.5412.313.6-1.34
Justise Winslow4545-0.360.86-1.220.14-1725-4214.513.80.6711.813.8-1.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.59,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 81, CHI 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,193.0%
DET 109, IND 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.92,192.7%
BKN 86, GSW 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.73,191.6%