NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	7.7 [299]		MVP	Alec Burks (NYK): +17.6%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	4.3 [363]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -29.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	11	61%	0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.06
Mo Bamba	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	5	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chuma Okeke	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.01	7	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.1,-0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.02	21	53%	0.26	1	-0.27	1	100%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	4	70%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Chasson Randle	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	45%	0.00	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Dwayne Bacon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.08	0.00	6	58%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.09	-0.18	0.02	20	42%	-0.10	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.11	0.02	18	57%	0.20	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	9	62%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	15	52%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Knox II	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	-0.11	0.00	16	62%	0.18	1	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.00	20	43%	0.08	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	24.2	14.5	23.8	1.6	32.6	124.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +28.2%

ORL -6.2%

ORL -3.2%

NYK +22.6%

NYK +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	14.4	101.1	101.1	111.3
season	14.9	15.2		103.9	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.0		107.4	113.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.0	16.9	17.4	14.7	15.8
NYK	16.7	14.4	13.9	16.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Bamba	22	22	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.17	3	-4	7	15.8	15.7	0.03	18.0	14.6	3.48
Al-Farouq Aminu	44	46	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-4	7	17.0	14.6	2.40	16.7	14.1	2.59
Aaron Gordon	58	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.41	8	-9	17	15.9	15.4	0.54	15.6	15.0	0.64
Khem Birch	48	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	3	-7	14.6	17.0	-2.40	14.3	16.4	-2.14
Chuma Okeke	43	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.22	-1	0	-1	16.0	15.6	0.43	16.3	14.7	1.60
Evan Fournier	66	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-5	9	15.3	17.0	-1.74	15.4	15.3	0.07
Chasson Randle	58	57	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	11	-23	16.0	15.3	0.77	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Dwayne Bacon	51	51	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.53	-2	1	-3	15.6	15.9	-0.23	14.4	16.6	-2.29
Nikola Vucevic	70	71	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.64	-4	3	-7	15.7	15.8	-0.03	14.6	18.0	-3.48

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	77	76	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.52	9	-8	17	14.8	18.2	-3.46	15.9	15.0	0.91
Reggie Bullock	68	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-15	31	14.7	17.2	-2.42	16.3	14.0	2.33
Taj Gibson	59	57	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	-1	3	15.9	14.5	1.35	15.7	15.9	-0.22
RJ Barrett	82	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	-1	3	15.3	16.3	-1.00	15.6	16.4	-0.77
Alec Burks	67	64	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.51	-12	13	-25	16.3	13.0	3.26	14.8	17.9	-3.13
Nerlens Noel	33	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	2	-3	15.0	15.6	-0.65	15.9	15.7	0.16
Frank Ntilikina	52	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	3	-5	14.8	16.2	-1.40	16.2	15.2	0.97
Kevin Knox II	11	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	2	-3	16.3	15.3	1.00	16.4	15.6	0.77
Obi Toppin	16	16	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	9	-17	18.2	14.8	3.46	15.0	15.9	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.41,0.2,0.33,0.39,0.71,0.94,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.33,0.46,0.72,0.86,0.73,1	91.7%
NOP 107, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.52,0.63,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.82,0.72,0.66,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.72,0.96,0.98,1	90.8%
HOU 106, PHX 116	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.96,1,1	89.4%