NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	133		Excitement	4.4 [832]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +15.6%
Washington Wizards	122		Comeback	1.2 [1055]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (WAS): -16.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.00	0.05	19	70%	0.17	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Bryn Forbes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	4	91%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.00	0.06	12	73%	0.08	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	-0.01	-0.07	22	50%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	72%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.26	-0.00	0.10	19	82%	0.20	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	90%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	55%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cassius Winston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.08	-0.02	0.12	18	61%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.07	0.06	19	52%	-0.05	5	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	24.3	14.8	32.6	2.5	28.3	129.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.9%

MIL +4.5%

MIL +11.4%

WAS -1.8%

MIL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.4	12.6	14.4	120.9	109.9	111.3
season	13.5	13.3		114.8	109.9
opponent	14.1	14.7		112.4	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.2	12.7	15.3	13.7	13.4
WAS	12.7	14.0	10.9	13.0	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	83	84	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	-10	31	13.2	14.1	-0.85	12.7	12.5	0.15
Donte DiVincenzo	76	79	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.22	24	-13	37	13.4	13.6	-0.18	12.5	12.9	-0.43
Jrue Holiday	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.09	12	-1	13	13.5	13.2	0.33	12.1	13.7	-1.59
Brook Lopez	75	74	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	-1	13	13.1	14.1	-0.99	13.3	11.4	1.92
Khris Middleton	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	4	3	13.1	14.2	-1.11	13.2	11.3	1.93
Pat Connaughton	68	66	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.43	-10	21	-31	13.7	13.0	0.74	12.5	12.9	-0.43
Bryn Forbes	31	32	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	13	-15	14.5	13.0	1.46	11.0	13.3	-2.34
D.J. Augustin	30	30	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	13	-15	12.8	13.7	-0.88	13.3	12.4	0.92
Bobby Portis	34	35	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	18	-25	14.3	13.0	1.28	12.5	12.7	-0.13

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cassius Winston	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	14.0	12.6	1.39	17.0	13.4	3.63
Robin Lopez	21	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-7	3	12.5	12.7	-0.19	12.5	13.6	-1.14
Davis Bertans	56	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-14	17	12.2	13.0	-0.77	13.1	13.7	-0.58
Deni Avdija	73	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.42	8	-19	27	12.3	13.3	-1.08	13.7	12.9	0.87
Raul Neto	46	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.30	3	-14	17	11.8	13.2	-1.49	14.4	12.8	1.59
Garrison Mathews	45	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	8	-27	13.6	12.0	1.59	13.1	13.7	-0.64
Bradley Beal	96	97	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-7	3	12.5	13.5	-0.97	13.4	14.0	-0.64
Alex Len	41	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.13	-16	5	-21	13.5	12.1	1.36	13.2	13.6	-0.42
Rui Hachimura	83	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-4	-3	12.8	12.2	0.56	13.8	12.4	1.41
Russell Westbrook	92	90	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.09	-20	9	-29	12.8	12.0	0.76	13.1	14.9	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 104, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
DAL 99, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
PHX 112, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0	95.3%