NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	124		Excitement	6.5 [481]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +20.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	129		Comeback	2.7 [162]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -17.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.23	0.01	0.04	21	69%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.09	0.00	0.10	0.01	8	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.05	14	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.01	0.16	-0.10	0.05	13	69%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.18	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	21	44%	-0.12	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.21	0.21	0.02	0.12	-0.07	17	60%	0.29	6	-0.09	9	67%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.03	0.03	8	85%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.04	16	68%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.02	7	81%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	13	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.07	-0.02	20	59%	0.07	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	29.2	14.8	28.3	2.3	39.6	138.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +32.0%

NOP +16.9%

NOP +0.5%

UTA -0.4%

NOP +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOP	NBA	UTA	NOP	NBA
this game	13.6	13.6	14.4	118.1	120.6	111.3
season	14.5	14.0		116.4	112.4
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.1	12.6	15.8	11.4	13.6
NOP	14.9	15.1	11.9	12.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	28	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-5	5	14.5	13.3	1.20	13.1	13.7	-0.57
Jordan Clarkson	59	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-6	7	14.0	13.2	0.83	13.9	13.2	0.72
Derrick Favors	35	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	2	-9	13.3	13.8	-0.46	12.9	13.8	-0.93
Rudy Gobert	70	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-7	9	13.8	13.3	0.46	13.8	12.9	0.93
Mike Conley	59	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-4	3	13.9	13.2	0.75	13.2	14.0	-0.76
Bojan Bogdanovic	71	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-4	3	13.0	14.9	-1.82	13.8	13.0	0.84
Royce O'Neale	74	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-1	-3	13.4	14.1	-0.63	13.9	12.6	1.32
Donovan Mitchell	79	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	13.2	14.8	-1.58	13.7	13.1	0.54
Joe Ingles	50	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	6	-17	14.0	13.2	0.80	12.6	14.4	-1.77

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonzo Ball	86	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-1	7	13.8	12.7	1.04	13.7	13.2	0.46
JJ Redick	43	45	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-3	11	12.7	14.1	-1.39	14.3	13.1	1.21
Brandon Ingram	86	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	-1	7	13.6	13.4	0.15	13.6	13.6	-0.02
Zion Williamson	75	74	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	3	-1	13.6	13.5	0.12	13.4	14.1	-0.68
Josh Hart	55	55	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	1	3	13.1	14.0	-0.91	13.8	13.4	0.34
Willy Hernangomez	48	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	9	-13	13.4	13.7	-0.32	13.3	13.8	-0.50
Eric Bledsoe	86	81	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	7	-9	13.6	13.3	0.27	13.1	15.5	-2.44
Steven Adams	56	55	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.17	5	0	5	14.3	12.7	1.54	14.1	13.1	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 80, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
BKN 75, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
GSW 80, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%