NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	109		Excitement	5.3 [676]		MVP	Kenrich Williams (OKC): +13.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	118		Comeback	2.1 [218]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -5.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.02	19	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	11	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Danilo Gallinari	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	38%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Skylar Mays	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	21	40%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.01	9	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	14	59%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	16	67%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	64%	0.13	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	11	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Roby	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	23.0	14.8	27.2	1.7	33.3	124.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +48.8%

OKC +3.7%

ATL -0.8%

ATL -0.3%

ATL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	OKC	NBA	ATL	OKC	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	14.4	112.4	121.6	111.3
season	14.7	14.2		112.8	102.4
opponent	14.0	14.5		112.7	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	16.0	15.4	15.7	15.3
OKC	13.0	14.6	13.4	17.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-7	5	14.1	15.4	-1.26	15.1	14.4	0.75
Clint Capela	63	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-16	23	14.7	16.2	-1.46	15.1	13.1	1.98
Skylar Mays	26	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.20	3	-12	15	15.0	15.4	-0.35	14.7	14.3	0.39
Tony Snell	58	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-12	15	15.5	14.9	0.60	14.6	14.2	0.35
Rajon Rondo	43	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-6	3	15.1	15.4	-0.34	13.9	14.9	-1.03
John Collins	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-2	-5	15.6	14.5	1.08	14.7	13.9	0.79
Solomon Hill	38	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	3	-15	15.2	15.3	-0.08	13.5	15.0	-1.49
Trae Young	64	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	3	-15	15.4	15.0	0.34	14.4	14.4	0.04
Kevin Huerter	70	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	3	-15	15.2	15.3	-0.10	14.9	13.0	1.91
Danilo Gallinari	50	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	1	-11	15.6	14.9	0.67	13.2	15.8	-2.53

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luguentz Dort	67	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	-2	13	14.1	15.1	-0.92	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	74	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	1	7	14.1	15.3	-1.20	14.8	16.8	-2.04
Kenrich Williams	51	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	-1	11	14.3	14.6	-0.38	15.6	14.9	0.69
Isaiah Roby	65	64	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	3	3	14.6	14.2	0.41	15.2	15.4	-0.21
Darius Bazley	58	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	4	1	15.1	13.4	1.67	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Ty Jerome	44	46	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	5	-1	13.7	15.1	-1.42	15.6	15.0	0.58
Theo Maledon	67	67	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.23	-2	11	-13	15.0	13.1	1.93	15.7	14.3	1.34
Mike Muscala	32	33	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	6	-3	14.2	14.6	-0.41	15.4	15.2	0.21
Justin Jackson	27	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	9	-9	14.6	14.4	0.22	15.2	15.3	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 87, WAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DET 93, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
ATL 86, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%