NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	86		Excitement	4.5 [908]		MVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): +14.8%
Orlando Magic	104		Comeback	2.0 [822]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -8.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	5	38%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Joe Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	17	47%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Mario West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	39%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	10	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Al Horford	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.05	13	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	7	78%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.03	0.04	10	77%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	16	62%	0.13	4	-0.07	18	61%	-0.04
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.01	0.06	11	73%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	53%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.5	29.2	16.5	28.1	1.7	31.0	136.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +26.9%

ORL +11.4%

ORL +4.4%

ORL +5.4%

ORL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	16.4	16.1	15.3	96.6	118.2	106.0
season	16.0	15.4		109.4	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.8		101.9	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.4	18.4	16.4	15.7	16.4
ORL	14.6	16.6	15.5	17.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario West	26	24	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-20	22	15.4	16.9	-1.49	15.4	16.4	-1.00
Jeff Teague	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-18	18	14.6	16.6	-2.03	16.6	16.0	0.57
Jason Collins	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-14	10	17.1	16.4	0.75	15.8	16.1	-0.34
Zaza Pachulia	28	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-18	18	16.2	16.6	-0.38	15.3	16.4	-1.07
Maurice Evans	37	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.08	-1	-17	16	16.5	16.4	0.04	15.5	16.5	-1.07
Marvin Williams	50	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-15	12	16.1	16.9	-0.86	16.9	15.2	1.70
Mike Bibby	48	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-4	-10	16.4	16.5	-0.09	16.4	15.8	0.55
Al Horford	51	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	-4	-10	16.5	16.4	0.03	16.5	15.5	1.07
Josh Smith	75	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-3	-12	16.4	16.7	-0.33	16.1	16.3	-0.28
Jamal Crawford	50	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.10	-21	3	-24	17.2	15.5	1.69	15.6	16.8	-1.26
Joe Johnson	63	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.06	-20	2	-22	16.9	15.4	1.49	16.4	15.4	1.00

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	5	8	15.2	17.9	-2.73	16.1	17.1	-1.05
Matt Barnes	45	47	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	8	2	15.0	17.2	-2.16	15.9	17.1	-1.20
Dwight Howard	75	77	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	5	8	16.0	16.8	-0.87	16.5	15.8	0.70
Vince Carter	42	41	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	7	4	16.0	16.2	-0.20	16.5	16.4	0.14
Jameer Nelson	51	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	6	6	15.8	16.5	-0.71	16.7	16.1	0.57
JJ Redick	48	48	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.14	11	7	4	16.2	15.9	0.28	16.4	16.5	-0.09
Jason Williams	37	40	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	12	-6	16.5	15.8	0.71	16.1	16.7	-0.57
Marcin Gortat	13	12	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	13	-8	16.8	16.0	0.87	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Ryan Anderson	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	13	-8	17.9	15.2	2.73	17.1	16.1	1.05
Mickael Pietrus	41	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	14	-10	17.2	15.1	2.09	17.0	15.9	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.8,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
GSW 87, WAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NOH 89, MEM 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%