NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	126		Excitement	10.0 [59]		MVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): +25.9%
Chicago Bulls	133		Comeback	1.7 [764]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -23.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.26	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.04	0.23	0.02	6	53%	0.26	0	0.00	5	100%	0.19
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.14	0.12	0.01	5	94%	0.31	1	-0.06	7	86%	0.05
Jaylen Nowell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	10	57%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04	0.09	-0.12	0.01	20	60%	0.06	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	14	46%	-0.00	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	20	48%	0.03	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.24	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	0.02	-0.24	0.02	20	57%	-0.01	4	-0.23	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	0.00	7	94%	0.29	2	-0.08	3	67%	0.03
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.08	0.01	21	80%	0.44	7	-0.23	2	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	8	85%	0.19	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.02	8	72%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	14	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	36%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	0.00	17	56%	0.12	7	-0.19	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	24.4	14.7	25.1	1.7	37.8	1.7	14.2	144.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +93.3%

MIN -43.8%

MIN -6.9%

CHI +0.7%

CHI +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	13.8	14.3	14.4	112.5	116.7	111.3
season	14.1	14.5		108.7	109.9
opponent	14.3	14.0		111.1	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	14.0	13.7	16.8	11.4	13.9	13.8
CHI	14.8	13.0	15.2	15.2	12.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	60	63	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.37	12	-19	31	14.4	13.2	1.19	15.8	12.5	3.29
Malik Beasley	82	81	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-12	17	13.2	15.6	-2.39	14.0	15.0	-0.96
Ricky Rubio	69	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-8	9	13.6	14.2	-0.59	14.4	14.2	0.17
Anthony Edwards	77	80	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-12	17	13.3	15.1	-1.88	14.8	13.1	1.75
Jarred Vanderbilt	72	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-5	3	14.5	12.7	1.79	14.8	13.5	1.25
Josh Okogie	35	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	5	-17	13.2	14.1	-0.94	12.8	15.1	-2.31
Jaylen Nowell	40	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	0	-7	14.2	13.7	0.55	14.1	14.4	-0.23
Jordan McLaughlin	43	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	1	-9	14.2	13.6	0.59	14.2	14.4	-0.17
Jaden McDaniels	30	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	5	-17	15.9	13.1	2.76	14.4	14.3	0.09
Naz Reid	52	50	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	10	-27	13.2	14.4	-1.19	12.6	15.6	-2.94

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	72	72	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	-1	9	13.3	16.0	-2.71	13.9	13.7	0.15
Wendell Carter Jr.	71	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	9	-11	14.3	14.3	-0.02	13.1	15.1	-2.03
Luke Kornet	24	22	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-3	13	14.2	14.3	-0.10	15.8	13.4	2.39
Denzel Valentine	44	42	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	0	7	14.5	14.1	0.42	12.9	14.4	-1.47
Ryan Arcidiacono	21	21	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	4	-1	15.0	14.1	0.81	12.3	14.2	-1.86
Patrick Williams	60	61	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	5	-3	13.9	14.7	-0.86	13.7	14.1	-0.42
Zach LaVine	87	84	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.35	-4	11	-15	14.8	12.6	2.27	13.8	13.9	-0.11
Thaddeus Young	58	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	4	-1	14.7	13.8	0.92	15.1	12.6	2.59
Garrett Temple	78	77	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.22	-4	11	-15	14.6	13.6	1.03	14.1	13.4	0.65
Tomas Satoransky	55	55	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.49	12	-5	17	13.8	14.7	-0.88	13.9	13.8	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.69,0.76,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.97,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 85, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.78,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.78,0.83,1	90.4%
ORL 78, NOK 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.95,1	90.0%
MEM 97, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.76,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.84,0.74,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.89,0.96,1	89.6%