NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	112		Excitement	2.3 [1116]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (ATL): +20.0%
Atlanta Hawks	127		Comeback	1.1 [561]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -6.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carsen Edwards	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	8	69%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Javonte Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	10	54%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Robert Williams III	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tacko Fall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremont Waters	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.14	0.00	0.14	4	137%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	9	58%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	7	81%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Grant Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	16	46%	-0.00	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.07	20	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.34	0.00	0.14	16	112%	0.23	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.04	23	65%	0.13	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	64%	0.05	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nathan Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	56%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	29.4	15.2	30.6	2.4	25.3	126.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +52.6%

BOS -3.6%

ATL +3.5%

BOS -5.5%

ATL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	13.8	15.8	14.4	115.5	130.9	111.3
season	14.5	14.7		112.8	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.5		111.4	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.3	14.3	12.3	11.8	13.8
ATL	15.4	15.1	13.4	20.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tacko Fall	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-27	39	11.3	14.3	-3.05	19.7	15.1	4.60
Tremont Waters	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-27	39	11.3	14.3	-3.05	19.7	15.1	4.60
Daniel Theis	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-17	19	15.4	13.3	2.09	14.0	16.4	-2.48
Javonte Green	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.35	10	-25	35	11.4	14.7	-3.36	18.5	14.9	3.63
Carsen Edwards	24	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.30	7	-22	29	12.5	14.3	-1.84	18.4	15.1	3.34
Aaron Nesmith	29	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-19	23	13.8	13.9	-0.07	16.9	15.4	1.47
Tristan Thompson	53	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-8	1	15.0	12.4	2.59	14.4	17.6	-3.28
Semi Ojeleye	11	11	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-5	-5	15.5	13.6	1.92	15.0	16.0	-0.95
Grant Williams	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.41	-23	8	-31	13.8	13.9	-0.15	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Jeff Teague	58	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.36	-22	7	-29	14.5	12.9	1.54	14.8	17.5	-2.68
Robert Williams III	29	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.26	-20	5	-25	13.0	14.2	-1.16	16.6	15.5	1.01
Jaylen Brown	61	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-2	-11	14.0	13.6	0.37	14.7	17.7	-2.98
Jayson Tatum	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	0	-15	15.0	11.7	3.34	15.3	16.9	-1.66

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	68	66	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.26	25	-10	35	16.1	15.2	0.96	14.1	13.4	0.67
Trae Young	71	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	2	11	15.7	16.3	-0.63	14.1	13.2	0.86
Solomon Hill	34	36	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	5	5	16.2	15.7	0.56	13.9	13.8	0.11
Clint Capela	45	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	1	13	13.9	17.5	-3.57	15.4	12.5	2.94
Skylar Mays	32	32	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	6	3	19.0	14.3	4.66	12.9	14.3	-1.45
Kevin Huerter	57	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	6	3	14.1	18.3	-4.22	15.4	11.8	3.58
Tony Snell	60	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	7	1	15.6	16.2	-0.51	13.7	14.0	-0.25
Rajon Rondo	23	25	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.10	10	5	5	14.2	16.4	-2.13	12.5	14.3	-1.84
Onyeka Okongwu	23	24	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.20	-2	17	-19	16.6	15.6	1.00	11.8	14.5	-2.67
John Collins	51	50	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	15	-15	16.3	15.3	1.03	13.7	14.0	-0.30
Brandon Goodwin	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	22	-29	19.3	15.6	3.71	10.9	14.1	-3.22
Nathan Knight	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	19.3	15.6	3.71	10.9	14.1	-3.22
Bruno Fernando	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	22	-29	19.3	15.6	3.71	10.9	14.1	-3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 77, UTA 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
POR 96, LAL 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NYK 91, PHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%