NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	109		Excitement	4.2 [862]		MVP	Furkan Korkmaz (PHI): +9.2%
Toronto Raptors	102		Comeback	1.1 [770]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): -10.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Furkan Korkmaz	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	-0.00	0.04	11	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	0.02	0.09	12	79%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Shake Milton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	52%	0.05	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	13	47%	0.04	6	-0.09	12	92%	0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terence Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	19	57%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Matt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	13	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	10	52%	-0.00	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.10	18	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	0.05	14	39%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	22.5	15.4	29.4	2.5	46.2	142.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +33.8%

PHI +9.6%

PHI +11.1%

TOR -9.1%

PHI +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	14.4	109.0	103.0	111.3
season	14.5	14.2		112.6	111.0
opponent	14.6	14.2		111.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.6	15.1	16.2	14.5	14.8
TOR	15.2	15.5	13.8	12.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	78	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	1	5	14.4	16.3	-1.86	13.4	16.5	-3.08
Furkan Korkmaz	58	57	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	-5	17	15.1	14.5	0.59	14.2	14.0	0.13
Joel Embiid	77	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	5	-3	14.5	16.0	-1.48	13.5	16.2	-2.75
Danny Green	70	67	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	1	5	14.3	16.1	-1.78	13.7	14.9	-1.16
Ben Simmons	74	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	5	-3	15.0	14.3	0.69	14.3	13.6	0.77
Shake Milton	62	61	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.32	-2	9	-11	15.1	14.4	0.69	13.5	15.1	-1.64
Matisse Thybulle	29	32	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	1	5	14.8	14.8	-0.04	15.0	13.7	1.25
Dwight Howard	23	24	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	2	3	16.0	14.5	1.48	16.2	13.5	2.75
Mike Scott	22	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	6	-5	16.3	14.4	1.86	16.5	13.4	3.08
Isaiah Joe	7	9	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	10	-13	14.0	14.9	-0.88	16.1	13.9	2.19

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Thomas	9	8	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.07	3	-10	13	13.9	14.1	-0.26	14.4	14.9	-0.48
Terence Davis	31	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-1	-5	15.7	13.4	2.27	15.1	14.7	0.45
OG Anunoby	62	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.32	3	-10	13	14.7	13.2	1.45	14.5	15.4	-0.89
Chris Boucher	46	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-3	-1	14.3	14.0	0.30	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Pascal Siakam	88	90	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.42	4	-11	15	14.2	13.7	0.44	14.9	14.4	0.47
DeAndre' Bembry	47	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	1	-9	15.3	13.0	2.32	15.7	14.0	1.66
Aron Baynes	59	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	3	-13	13.9	14.4	-0.55	15.7	13.4	2.33
Norman Powell	74	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	0	-7	13.2	16.7	-3.48	14.5	16.0	-1.53
Fred VanVleet	79	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	3	-13	13.2	17.6	-4.42	14.3	16.8	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 106, VAN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
DEN 111, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
BOS 121, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%