inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 121 Excitement4.0 [1041] MVPEvan Turner (BOS): +7.1%
Denver Nuggets 101 Comeback1.2 [847] LVPGary Harris (DEN): -8.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Turner0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.00885%0.134-0.064100%0.01
Jared Sullinger0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.011259%0.081-0.01367%0.00
Isaiah Thomas0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.000.031659%0.113-0.065100%0.01
Jae Crowder0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.021052%0.052-0.02580%-0.00
Marcus Smart0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.050.01-0.061242%0.042-0.0200%0.00
Avery Bradley0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.09-0.010.061565%0.042-0.031100%0.00
Amir Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00560%0.021-0.0100%0.00
RJ Hunter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Mickey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terry Rozier0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Young0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.02560%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Tyler Zeller-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.00945%-0.001-0.02250%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.020.061572%0.114-0.062100%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.020.01975%0.104-0.076100%0.01
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.04865%0.031-0.02475%-0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.001153%0.032-0.031070%-0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01250%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.0110%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.001100%0.034-0.072100%0.01
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.130.00-0.081232%-0.033-0.02771%-0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.010.021445%-0.043-0.04367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.428.415.427.32.632.2133.8
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +26.6%
DEN -1.7%
BOS +10.8%
BOS +12.0%
BOS +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSDENNBABOSDENNBA
this game13.413.714.9113.195.3105.1
season13.914.9104.5104.3
opponent14.915.0107.8101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.814.510.914.613.4
DEN14.412.713.913.613.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Evan Turner62620.490.010.470.051551013.013.9-0.8513.713.70.02
Marcus Smart72720.460.040.42-0.091911813.513.20.3013.214.6-1.44
Isaiah Thomas74730.320.180.14-0.121551013.014.1-1.0813.713.60.14
Jae Crowder71700.310.190.12-0.131551013.014.1-1.1113.414.2-0.84
Jonas Jerebko42420.210.29-0.080.06515-1013.613.20.4013.913.50.31
Amir Johnson41400.210.29-0.08-0.081010013.613.30.3013.913.50.45
Tyler Zeller35340.200.30-0.10-0.01713-614.113.01.0213.014.0-0.99
Avery Bradley71700.170.33-0.16-0.06812-414.211.72.5313.513.9-0.42
Jared Sullinger52520.140.36-0.23-0.04614-812.913.8-0.8813.913.40.53
RJ Hunter440.000.50-0.500.00020-2012.213.4-1.1717.213.53.72
Jordan Mickey440.000.50-0.500.00020-2012.213.4-1.1717.213.53.72
Terry Rozier440.000.50-0.500.00020-2012.213.4-1.1717.213.53.72
James Young330.000.50-0.500.00020-2013.713.40.3015.713.62.06

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joffrey Lauvergne540.00-0.500.500.06-2-181616.613.53.0814.213.30.91
Jusuf Nurkic2828-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-191813.113.9-0.7612.713.6-0.89
Kenneth Faried2929-0.12-0.380.260.06-6-14814.613.31.2113.513.30.20
Mike Miller2121-0.12-0.380.260.02-5-151013.513.7-0.2413.013.5-0.52
Darrell Arthur2827-0.21-0.290.090.06-9-11212.214.2-2.0314.413.01.43
Emmanuel Mudiay6868-0.25-0.25-0.000.01-9-11213.913.20.6713.413.30.06
Nikola Jokic6667-0.27-0.23-0.030.06-11-9-214.113.01.0413.313.6-0.32
D.J. Augustin6567-0.27-0.23-0.050.05-11-9-213.513.9-0.4213.313.6-0.32
Danilo Gallinari6970-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-5-1013.913.20.7013.114.0-0.92
Gary Harris8484-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.10-8-12413.414.5-1.1013.612.41.20
Will Barton6770-0.49-0.01-0.480.19-233-2613.613.9-0.3213.513.20.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 108, NJN 910.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
DEN 111, IND 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
HOU 114, TOR 1000.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%