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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 115 Excitement11.8 [19] MVPZion Williamson (NOP): +54.7%
New Orleans Pelicans 120 Comeback66.1 [16] LVPKemba Walker (BOS): -41.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jaylen Brown0.170,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.19,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.11,0.17-0.010.13-0.062345%0.233-0.06989%0.06
Aaron Nesmith0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.020.02491%0.1100.003100%0.01
Robert Williams III0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.04-0.01667%0.081-0.0100%0.00
Tristan Thompson0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.02864%0.0700.00667%0.00
Semi Ojeleye0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.01275%0.0400.0000%0.00
Payton Pritchard0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00367%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Daniel Theis-0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.31,-0.31-0.06-0.27-0.02736%-0.052-0.2700%0.00
Kemba Walker-0.420,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.42-0.13-0.280.012131%-0.392-0.033100%0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zion Williamson0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.550.550.040.49-0.012154%0.603-0.051060%-0.00
Brandon Ingram0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.470.470.180.360.072266%0.512-0.046100%0.07
Jaxson Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00175%0.0200.00250%-0.00
Kira Lewis Jr.00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.01-0.010.10-0.12-0.011063%-0.0100.00771%-0.05
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00440%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Eric Bledsoe0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.02653%0.001-0.01367%-0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Lonzo Ball0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.021162%0.086-0.10475%-0.06
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.010.021026%-0.091-0.0330%-0.03
Nicolo Melli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.05-0.18-0.02721%-0.2200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.33.328.314.731.53.542.12.726.6177.9
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.72.315.8135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +6.0%
NOP +20.1%
NOP +6.5%
NOP +18.6%
BOS -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSNOPNBABOSNOPNBA
this game15.713.314.4104.5110.1111.3
season14.514.0112.8112.4
opponent14.414.5112.5111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS14.814.914.920.012.815.7
NOP15.213.912.210.915.913.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Williams III42430.37-0.871.240.43-2-3115.515.9-0.3813.613.10.48
Aaron Nesmith5555-0.05-0.450.390.18-83-1115.915.60.2413.712.80.91
Payton Pritchard3634-0.06-0.440.380.11-61-716.615.31.3412.613.6-1.03
Semi Ojeleye2929-0.20-0.300.100.07-94-1316.615.41.2012.613.6-1.01
Kemba Walker7374-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.594-91315.216.9-1.7013.712.41.36
Daniel Theis8280-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.573-81115.516.3-0.7413.512.70.87
Jaylen Brown8684-0.590.09-0.68-0.38-72-915.516.5-1.0313.113.9-0.81
Tristan Thompson6363-0.720.22-0.94-0.63-3-2-115.715.7-0.0113.013.7-0.77

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nicolo Melli34340.95-0.451.400.4218-133112.413.7-1.3717.614.92.77
Josh Hart73750.70-0.200.910.1818-133113.013.8-0.8116.713.73.01
Zion Williamson83830.56-0.060.620.5605-513.213.6-0.4215.616.3-0.69
Brandon Ingram88880.51-0.010.510.4523-113.412.90.4815.417.1-1.75
Lonzo Ball69690.190.31-0.120.1614-313.013.8-0.8816.214.91.37
Nickeil Alexander-Walker10100.080.42-0.33-0.0341310.213.6-3.4119.215.43.81
Eric Bledsoe5353-0.140.64-0.79-0.1405-513.313.30.0514.616.8-2.22
Kira Lewis Jr.1314-0.160.66-0.810.05-712-1915.213.02.2016.015.70.30
Jaxson Hayes2729-0.220.72-0.95-0.11-49-1313.713.20.5515.415.8-0.39
Willy Hernangomez4847-0.230.73-0.950.04-914-2313.713.00.7814.516.6-2.10
JJ Redick3737-0.250.75-0.99-0.16-38-1113.813.00.8215.515.8-0.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.45,0.55,0.78,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.65,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 109, ORL 1120.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.73,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.57,0.85,189.6%
NOP 111, DEN 1170.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.63,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.36,0.68,0.72,189.5%
TOR 118, CHI 1230.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.39,0.55,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.84,0.91,188.4%