NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	109		Excitement	11.8 [28]		MVP	Dario Saric (PHI): +14.8%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	25.6 [102]		LVP	T.J. McConnell (PHI): -33.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.07	-0.02	14	56%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.02	0.02	19	62%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Robert Covington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	22	51%	0.16	2	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Shawn Long	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	8	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.13
Nik Stauskas	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	17	50%	0.08	5	-0.26	6	83%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.33	-0.05	-0.26	0.03	15	47%	-0.20	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	5	64%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	68%	0.10	2	-0.05	11	82%	0.04
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	5	42%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,0	0.00	-0.07	0.06	-0.02	15	43%	0.08	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
C.J. Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.01	23	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.29,-0.29,-0.22,-0.22,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	12	56%	0.31	4	-0.39	10	60%	0.02
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.15,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	9	56%	-0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	34.0	14.6	29.6	2.4	39.3	2.6	20.1	167.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -30.9%

ORL +60.0%

ORL +25.0%

ORL +8.5%

PHI -12.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.2	14.8	94.8	97.4	107.7
season	14.5	14.6		101.9	103.0
opponent	14.9	14.4		109.8	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	13.6	13.0	14.4	18.1	13.0	14.5
ORL	14.1	15.2	10.8	14.6	10.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergio Rodriguez	36	38	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.09	0	-3	3	15.1	14.2	0.95	15.3	12.1	3.21
Shawn Long	23	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-4	5	15.6	14.2	1.43	13.8	13.0	0.78
Dario Saric	50	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.14	-8	5	-13	15.0	14.1	0.92	14.1	12.4	1.63
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	47	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-8	13	15.6	13.7	1.88	13.7	12.8	0.95
Nik Stauskas	87	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-4	5	14.2	15.4	-1.23	13.2	13.3	-0.14
Justin Anderson	62	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	5	-13	13.6	15.4	-1.77	12.2	14.2	-1.97
Richaun Holmes	92	93	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	1	-5	14.2	15.6	-1.43	13.0	13.8	-0.78
Robert Covington	99	98	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.54	1	-4	5	14.4	14.6	-0.12	13.1	14.0	-0.95
T.J. McConnell	79	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.51	-3	0	-3	14.2	15.1	-0.95	12.1	15.3	-3.21

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	68	70	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-11	25	11.7	15.3	-3.56	14.7	14.1	0.61
Evan Fournier	83	83	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.46	6	-3	9	12.9	14.0	-1.08	13.9	15.9	-2.05
Terrence Ross	79	79	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.47	0	3	-3	12.5	14.8	-2.35	13.5	16.7	-3.21
Jodie Meeks	42	44	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	-5	13	13.1	13.2	-0.11	15.7	13.7	2.09
Nikola Vucevic	85	84	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	3	-3	12.7	14.5	-1.82	13.5	17.0	-3.52
Aaron Gordon	68	69	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	0	3	13.6	12.6	0.97	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Bismack Biyombo	30	31	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	0	3	14.5	12.7	1.82	17.0	13.5	3.52
Mario Hezonja	41	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	8	-13	14.0	12.7	1.29	15.6	13.9	1.63
C.J. Watson	9	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	7	-11	13.9	13.1	0.76	11.4	14.7	-3.27
Jeff Green	32	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	6	-9	14.0	12.9	1.08	15.9	13.9	2.05
D.J. Augustin	38	36	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	10	-17	15.6	12.0	3.64	14.7	14.3	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.73,0.46,0.53,0.71,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.73,1	91.0%
TOR 97, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.22,0.13,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.38,0.55,0.34,0.84,0.46,0.45,0.79,0.94,0.91,1	90.7%
MIL 115, CHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.72,0.46,0.31,0.63,0.84,0.84,1	90.2%