NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	112		Excitement	7.7 [301]		MVP	Julius Randle (NYK): +38.5%
New York Knicks	123		Comeback	2.4 [335]		LVP	Cam Reddish (ATL): -21.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.05	0.01	5	94%	0.19	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
John Collins	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.03	-0.01	14	68%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	11	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Skylar Mays	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	12	30%	-0.04	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Trae Young	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	19	46%	-0.03	4	-0.13	12	83%	0.02
Cam Reddish	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22	-0.01	-0.14	0.07	12	53%	-0.08	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.29	0.15	0.06	22	79%	0.49	3	-0.11	12	75%	-0.01
RJ Barrett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.10	-0.02	14	68%	0.26	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.01	11	62%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	12	46%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	9	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.6	31.4	15.5	27.5	1.8	35.0	138.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +69.7%

ATL -6.3%

ATL -14.2%

NYK +6.4%

ATL -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	14.4	117.9	130.9	111.3
season	14.7	15.2		112.8	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.5		107.4	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.7	13.7	14.2	16.6	15.0
NYK	14.9	15.1	15.2	16.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	6	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-9	7	16.5	14.9	1.63	12.7	15.7	-3.02
Cam Reddish	70	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-7	3	14.6	16.0	-1.45	16.4	13.0	3.42
Skylar Mays	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-6	1	16.2	14.4	1.78	13.7	16.3	-2.63
John Collins	61	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.23	0	-11	11	14.4	16.1	-1.70	16.1	14.5	1.59
Solomon Hill	34	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	16.2	14.3	1.93	14.2	16.2	-2.00
Danilo Gallinari	51	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.12	-14	3	-17	16.1	13.6	2.52	14.1	17.3	-3.16
Trae Young	80	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-7	3	14.4	17.9	-3.52	15.9	13.5	2.42
Clint Capela	72	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-5	-1	14.5	16.3	-1.82	16.3	13.2	3.15
Kevin Huerter	72	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.08	-14	3	-17	14.9	15.3	-0.39	15.5	15.5	0.07

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	51	54	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-6	23	15.8	15.2	0.56	15.4	14.4	0.97
Julius Randle	80	80	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.15	17	-6	23	15.6	14.7	0.94	14.8	16.0	-1.22
RJ Barrett	64	65	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-1	13	15.5	15.6	-0.18	14.8	15.3	-0.53
Immanuel Quickley	42	41	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	3	5	16.0	15.2	0.80	15.6	14.5	1.17
Derrick Rose	45	45	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	3	5	15.7	15.3	0.34	15.6	14.4	1.24
Elfrid Payton	49	50	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	8	-5	15.3	15.7	-0.34	14.4	15.6	-1.24
Alec Burks	37	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	10	-9	15.2	15.7	-0.49	15.9	14.3	1.59
Reggie Bullock	45	46	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	10	-9	15.4	15.6	-0.17	13.8	16.0	-2.21
Taj Gibson	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	14	-17	14.9	15.9	-0.98	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Obi Toppin	23	23	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.01	-9	20	-29	15.4	15.5	-0.16	15.0	14.9	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.91,1,1	92.5%
MIL 96, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.41,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.87,1	92.2%
ORL 81, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	91.5%