NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	120		Excitement	11.8 [21]		MVP	Garrett Temple (CHI): +25.3%
Indiana Pacers	112		Comeback	3.1 [248]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -19.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.15	-0.00	11	67%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.02	0.20	0.03	25	54%	0.32	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.05
Tomas Satoransky	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.00	9	68%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.03	0.08	-0.05	7	61%	0.20	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.05
Thaddeus Young	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	76%	0.18	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	18	47%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Luke Kornet	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	10	32%	-0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.11	-0.02	9	90%	0.32	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	75%	0.20	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.08,-0.08,0.19,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.10	-0.00	25	44%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Edmond Sumner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Goga Bitadze	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.10	0.01	14	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	19	48%	0.14	8	-0.23	14	79%	0.09
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.15	0.01	10	42%	-0.13	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	28.6	14.7	28.2	2.4	32.6	2.5	15.4	152.4
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +73.4%

IND -18.4%

IND -5.4%

CHI +4.6%

IND -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.6	12.4	14.4	101.7	95.7	111.3
season	14.5	13.6		109.9	111.5
opponent	14.4	14.3		111.2	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	14.2	14.3	14.7	15.4	14.7	14.6
IND	12.4	11.9	12.5	12.8	12.5	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	97	96	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.50	16	-8	24	14.8	13.8	1.02	12.5	12.0	0.44
Garrett Temple	87	87	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.37	19	-11	30	14.4	15.3	-0.83	12.4	12.5	-0.08
Thaddeus Young	64	67	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.40	3	5	-2	15.1	14.1	0.98	11.6	13.5	-1.87
Denzel Valentine	70	73	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	8	-8	15.4	13.5	1.86	11.9	13.3	-1.38
Zach LaVine	86	82	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	3	2	14.4	15.2	-0.75	12.9	11.3	1.65
Ryan Arcidiacono	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	8	-8	15.0	14.6	0.39	11.8	12.5	-0.67
Wendell Carter Jr.	50	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.14	4	4	0	14.2	15.0	-0.81	13.5	11.7	1.79
Luke Kornet	17	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	9	-10	14.4	14.7	-0.27	12.9	12.3	0.58
Tomas Satoransky	46	49	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.15	0	8	-8	14.4	14.8	-0.45	11.7	12.9	-1.27
Patrick Williams	63	57	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.03	-6	14	-20	14.2	15.1	-0.91	12.9	11.9	0.98

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Edmond Sumner	26	26	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.14	6	-14	20	12.2	12.5	-0.28	15.2	14.5	0.75
Jeremy Lamb	58	58	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.07	10	-18	28	11.5	13.3	-1.77	14.8	14.5	0.33
JaKarr Sampson	7	6	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.03	6	-14	20	9.1	12.6	-3.48	16.0	14.6	1.43
Goga Bitadze	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-6	4	13.6	12.4	1.24	15.2	14.6	0.58
Aaron Holiday	43	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-5	2	11.4	13.0	-1.57	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Myles Turner	76	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-12	16	13.2	11.0	2.21	14.7	14.6	0.10
T.J. McConnell	91	94	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	0	-8	12.7	11.5	1.12	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Malcolm Brogdon	92	91	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.28	-16	8	-24	12.9	10.8	2.10	14.6	14.6	0.02
Justin Holiday	91	92	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.27	-19	11	-30	12.5	12.2	0.28	14.5	15.2	-0.75
Domantas Sabonis	96	98	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.32	-18	10	-28	12.3	13.0	-0.66	14.6	14.8	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.15,0.1,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.47,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.53,0.41,0.54,0.31,0.26,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 129, ATL 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.28,0.54,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.02,0	90.4%
DET 102, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.17,0	90.2%
POR 97, NOH 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.66,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.06,0.05,0	89.8%