NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Excitement	10.1 [55]		MVP	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +46.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	119		Comeback	20.8 [116]		LVP	Darius Bazley (OKC): -19.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.46	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.02	0.38	-0.06	25	53%	0.55	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.27
Justin Jackson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	10	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Hamidou Diallo	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	17	53%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kenrich Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Darius Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	11	29%	-0.15	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	20	35%	-0.07	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Darius Bazley	-0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.06	-0.14	-0.01	21	45%	-0.03	4	-0.16	5	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.00	7	100%	0.33	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.24	0.24	-0.02	0.23	-0.03	16	45%	0.24	1	-0.00	10	60%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.09,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.00	0.14	-0.02	22	57%	0.31	5	-0.14	5	80%	-0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	14	68%	0.20	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.03	-0.00	16	34%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	26.6	14.4	27.5	2.4	36.3	2.5	12.4	152.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +77.3%

OKC -37.2%

OKC -9.0%

LAL +12.2%

LAL +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	12.8	14.4	99.1	105.3	111.3
season	14.2	14.6		102.4	108.6
opponent	14.5	14.0		106.7	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	13.9	14.4	17.4	16.1	14.8	15.3
LAL	11.8	13.8	13.1	11.8	15.2	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenrich Williams	64	61	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.26	-2	-5	3	15.4	15.2	0.25	12.2	13.5	-1.23
Justin Jackson	59	57	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.29	-4	-3	-1	14.8	15.9	-1.11	12.7	12.9	-0.23
Darius Miller	29	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	5	-17	13.4	16.0	-2.57	12.1	13.0	-0.89
Hamidou Diallo	84	85	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-12	17	16.0	13.4	2.57	13.0	12.1	0.89
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	87	88	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-10	13	15.4	14.9	0.53	13.0	12.2	0.79
Darius Bazley	90	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-8	9	15.0	16.4	-1.39	12.9	12.6	0.31
Luguentz Dort	80	82	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.43	-13	6	-19	15.5	14.8	0.76	13.0	12.3	0.77
Al Horford	72	74	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.48	-13	6	-19	15.6	14.8	0.82	12.9	12.7	0.11

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	72	69	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.56	6	1	5	13.2	12.1	1.09	15.8	14.5	1.32
Montrezl Harrell	65	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-8	23	12.4	13.3	-0.87	14.8	16.0	-1.24
LeBron James	90	91	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-1	9	12.9	12.5	0.42	15.6	14.0	1.59
Dennis Schroder	80	79	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.49	2	5	-3	12.9	12.5	0.47	15.4	15.1	0.30
Wesley Matthews	58	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-3	13	12.0	13.7	-1.67	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Markieff Morris	53	53	0.12	0.39	-0.27	0.09	1	6	-5	13.5	12.2	1.27	16.2	14.5	1.73
Marc Gasol	40	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	13	-19	13.3	12.5	0.79	16.2	14.9	1.26
Talen Horton-Tucker	58	60	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.41	5	2	3	11.8	13.8	-1.99	14.9	15.8	-0.84
Kyle Kuzma	49	50	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.19	-6	13	-19	13.3	12.4	0.87	14.2	16.2	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.47,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.33,0.38,0.12,0.1,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.71,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 119, MIN 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.08,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.84,0.96,1	89.3%
LAC 109, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	88.6%
BKN 115, MIN 122	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.26,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.19,0.37,0.1,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.89,0.96,1	88.5%